At US$106, Is TriNet Group, Inc. (NYSE:TNET) Worth Looking At Closely?
TriNet Group, Inc. (NYSE:TNET), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$120 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$102. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether TriNet Group's current trading price of US$106 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at TriNet Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for TriNet Group
What Is TriNet Group Worth?
Great news for investors – TriNet Group is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that TriNet Group’s ratio of 15.04x is below its peer average of 22.62x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Professional Services industry. What’s more interesting is that, TriNet Group’s share price is quite volatile, which gives us more chances to buy since the share price could sink lower (or rise higher) in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What does the future of TriNet Group look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -7.3% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for TriNet Group. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? Although TNET is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to TNET, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TNET for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing TriNet Group at this point in time. For example, we've found that TriNet Group has 3 warning signs (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
If you are no longer interested in TriNet Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
