At US$36.89, Is AAR Corp. (NYSE:AIR) Worth Looking At Closely?
AAR Corp. (NYSE:AIR), which is in the aerospace & defense business, and is based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to $49.74 at one point, and dropping to the lows of $34.76. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether AAR’s current trading price of $36.89 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at AAR’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
See our latest analysis for AAR
What’s the opportunity in AAR?
According to my valuation model, AAR seems to be fairly priced at around 12% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy AAR today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $41.9, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because AAR’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
Can we expect growth from AAR?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. AAR’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 38%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in AIR’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on AIR, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on AAR. You can find everything you need to know about AAR in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in AAR, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.
