Why American Vanguard Corporation (NYSE:AVD) Could Be Worth Watching
While American Vanguard Corporation (NYSE:AVD) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$23.16 and falling to the lows of US$20.03. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether American Vanguard's current trading price of US$21.49 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at American Vanguard’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for American Vanguard
What's The Opportunity In American Vanguard?
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 8.10% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy American Vanguard today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $19.88, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. What's more, American Vanguard’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.
Can we expect growth from American Vanguard?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 50% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for American Vanguard. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in AVD’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AVD, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
It can be quite valuable to consider what analysts expect for American Vanguard from their most recent forecasts. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.
If you are no longer interested in American Vanguard, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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