Why You Shouldn’t Look At Mapletree Industrial Trust’s (SGX:ME8U) Bottom Line

In this article:

Mapletree Industrial Trust is a S$3.7b mid-cap, real estate investment trust (REIT) based in Singapore, Singapore. REITs own and operate income-generating property and adhere to a different set of regulations. This impacts how ME8U’s business operates and also how we should analyse its stock. I’ll take you through some of the key metrics you should use in order to properly assess ME8U.

Check out our latest analysis for Mapletree Industrial Trust

REIT investors should be familiar with the term Fund from Operations (FFO) – a REIT’s main source of cash flow from its day-to-day business activities. FFO is a higher quality measure of earnings because it takes out the impact of non-recurring sales and non-cash items such as depreciation. These items can distort the bottom line and not necessarily reflective of ME8U’s daily operations. For ME8U, its FFO of S$246m makes up 99% of its gross profit, which means the majority of its earnings are high-quality and recurring.

SGX:ME8U Historical Debt October 23rd 18
SGX:ME8U Historical Debt October 23rd 18

ME8U’s financial stability can be gauged by seeing how much its FFO generated each year can cover its total amount of debt. The higher the coverage, the less risky ME8U is, broadly speaking, to have debt on its books. The metric I’ll be using, FFO-to-debt, also estimates the time it will take for the company to repay its debt with its FFO. With a ratio of 20%, the credit rating agency Standard & Poor would consider this as aggressive risk. This would take ME8U 4.97 years to pay off using operating income alone. Given that long-term debt is a multi-year commitment this is not unusual, however, the longer it takes for a company to pay back debt, the higher the risk associated with that company.

Next, interest coverage ratio shows how many times ME8U’s earnings can cover its annual interest payments. Usually the ratio is calculated using EBIT, but for REITs, it’s better to use FFO divided by net interest. This is similar to the above concept, but looks at the nearer-term obligations. With an interest coverage ratio of 8.77x, it’s safe to say ME8U is generating an appropriate amount of cash from its borrowings.

In terms of valuing ME8U, FFO can also be used as a form of relative valuation. Instead of the P/E ratio, P/FFO is used instead, which is very common for REIT stocks. ME8U’s price-to-FFO is 14.98x, compared to the long-term industry average of 16.5x, meaning that it is slightly undervalued.

Next Steps:

In this article, I’ve taken a look at Funds from Operations using various metrics, but it is certainly not sufficient to derive an investment decision based on this value alone. Mapletree Industrial Trust can bring about diversification for your portfolio, but before you decide to invest, take a look at the other aspects you must consider before investing:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for ME8U’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for ME8U’s outlook.

  2. Valuation: What is ME8U worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether ME8U is currently mispriced by the market.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

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