AllMarket Outlook
logoArgusMarch 26, 2024

Daily Spotlight: Opportunities Among Small & Mid-Caps

Market Outlook
Neutral - Short term
Summary

Small- and mid-cap stocks (SMID stocks) have underperformed large-caps over the past 12 months, but still may be in a better position to generate market-beating returns going forward. For one thing, SMID companies tend to focus on domestic markets, so their businesses could be less disrupted by the fallout from unrest in the Middle East, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, issues with China, or other geopolitical developments. As well, the prices of SMID stocks generally are lower than the prices of large-caps, with the P/E ratio on the Russell 2000 Small-Cap Index of 13 compared to a trailing P/E of 25 for the S&P 500. Finally, there are long stretches in the record books when SMID stocks have outperformed large-caps. From 2003-2021, the Russell 2000 Index had climbed 450%, compared to an advance of 330% for the S&P 500 index. That said, SMID stocks can be risky. The standard deviation for monthly returns was 5.7% for SMID stocks over our 2003-2021 test period, versus 4.3% for large-caps. SMID stocks fell further in negative years during our test period, with an average 1

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