The outlooks of purchasing managers (and the manufacturing sectors they represent) generally are improving in recent months, benefitting from the positive news of COVID-19 vaccine development, approval, and distribution. The UK is leading the recovery, as its PMI has risen to 64.2 from sub-50 last quarter. (Note: any survey reading above 50 indicates economic expansion.) The Eurozone is also surging. The non-German economies in Europe recorded a 63.1 PMI in May -- a sharp gain from 48.1 in the prior quarter. Nations that are less reliant on consumer services and have heavier exposure to industrial activity, such as Germany and the U.S., have reported more consistent (and solid) PMI readings. China has pulled back a bit, due to a slowing in exports as the dollar has declined. Still, manufacturing trends in China remain positive. Japan has finally moved into expansion phase, with a reading of 53.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Mid Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. The market capitalization range for U.S. mid-caps typically falls between $1 billion and $8 billion and represents 20% of the total capitalization of the U.S. equity market.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

As we approach the midpoint of 2021, and as we have pointed out many times this year and at the end of last year, index and sector outperformance has flipped 180 degrees. Year-to-date (YTD), the S&P 500 has tacked on 11.6%, the Dow Jones Industrials and the NYSE Composite have added almost 15%, the Nasdaq has gained 5.6%, and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is up 5%. Meanwhile, the S&P Mid-Cap 400 has jumped 18%, the Russell 2000 (IWM) has leapt 15.7%, and the S&P Small-Cap 600 (SML) has catapulted 23%.

The Vickers Top Buyers & Sellers is a daily report that identifies the five companies the largest insider purchase transactions based on the dollar value of the transactions as well as the five companies the largest insider sales transactions based on the dollar value of the transactions.

For the month of May, the S&P 500 managed to eke out a 0.6% gain; the Nasdaq made a nice comeback, cutting its loss to 1.5%; the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) dropped 1.2%; the S&P 400 rose 0.2%; and the Russell 2000 (IWM) rose 0.3%. Once again, action was seen in all 11 S&P sectors as well as in individual names.

Stocks were mostly higher on Friday morning. Consumer spending rose 0.5% for the month of April and personal income fell 13.1%. The Dow rose 0.4%, the S&P 0.3%, and the Nasdaq was up 0.4%. Crude oil rose slightly to $67 per barrel, while gold traded near $1897 per ounce.

Vickers Stock Research, a subsidiary of Argus Research Group, tracks and analyzes insider trading and institutional ownership trends. Form 13Fs are due 45 days after the end of calendar quarters, and are just now coming in from 1Q21. We like to review the 13Fs of the major activist investors, including Carl Icahn, Trian Fund Management, Jana Partners, and ValueAct Holdings, among others. Activist investing has evolved in recent years and is now less about generating a short-term return on an underpriced stock and more about achieving long-term returns through an active management/investor partnership. Here are some recent new purchases and key holdings of activist investors, according to Vickers.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

Continuing the Process: Our Monthly Survey of the Economy, Interest Rates, and Markets

Stocks rose modestly on Wednesday morning, recovering some of their losses after Tuesday's selloff. On the employment front, payroll provider ADP said that U.S. private employers added 742,000 jobs in April, up from 565,000 in March. The reading was the strongest since last September but missed the Reuters consensus, which called for an increase of 800,000 jobs. The Institute for Supply Management said that its services index fell to 62.7 in April, down from 63.7 in March and below the consensus forecast of 64.3. The Dow rose 0.2%, the S&P 0.3%, and the Nasdaq 0.5%. Crude oil traded near $66 per barrel, while gold rose $7 to $1783 per ounce.