AMERISAFE, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMSF) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

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AMERISAFE, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMSF) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript February 22, 2024

AMERISAFE, Inc. isn't one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Good day, and welcome to the AMERISAFE 2023 Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the presentation over to Ms. Kathryn Shirley, Chief Administrative Officer. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Kathryn Shirley: Good morning. Welcome to the AMERISAFE 2023 fourth quarter investor call. If you have not received the earnings release, it is available on our website at amerisafe.com. This call is being recorded. A replay of today's call will be available. Details on how to access the replay are in the earnings release. During this call, we will be making forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from the results expressed or implied in these statements if the underlying assumptions prove to be incorrect or as the results of risks, uncertainties and other factors, including factors discussed in the earnings release and the comments made during today's call and in the Risk Factors section of our Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and other reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

We do not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statements. I will now turn the call over to Janelle Frost, AMERISAFE's President and CEO.

Janelle Frost: Thank you, Kathryn, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased to report solid operating earnings or results for both the fourth quarter and full year of 2023. For the year, we reported a combined ratio of 85.9%, gross premium written growth of 3.3% and operating ROE of 17.7%. These results come during a period in the workers' compensation industry of multiyear rate decreases, somewhat offset by recent wage inflation. Competition has not lessened as workers' compensation is one of the more profitable of the property and casualty lines. Remaining true to our disciplined approach of underwriting high-hazard risk while being responsive to our agents and caring for the needs of injured workers and their employers is evident in our consistent results year after year and serves all of our stakeholders.

Gross written premiums for the quarter were $60.3 million, increasing 8.4%. During the quarter, premium for policies written in the quarter increased 4.7%, which was further improved by payroll audit and related premium adjustments of $4.8 million. At AMERISAFE, we continue to see strong retention in policies for which we offer renewal with 93.9% retention in the fourth quarter. For the full year, our accident year loss ratio was in line with the prior year at 71%. The company experienced $41.1 million of favorable development on prior accident years in 2023, which we attribute to lower claims severities and proactive claims handling. In addition, we ended the year with nine severe claims of those with case incurred in excess of $1 million.

As of December 31, 2023, our open claim count was down 6.4% from 2022. This metric demonstrates the success of our focus on resolving and closing claims and the decline in reported claims. Our balance sheet is conservatively positioned with roughly $897 million in investments in cash, a solid reserve position and no outstanding debt. Despite challenging market conditions, our tenure ensuring high hazard risk positions the company for continued solid results. AMERISAFE's strong retention, coupled with our focus on profitable growth, is delivering robust returns to our shareholders. Finally, as it relates to capital management, AMERISAFE's Board of Directors has approved 8.8% increase in our regular dividend to $0.37. With that, I'll turn the call over to Andy to discuss the financials.

A closeup of an insurance document with a pen signing its content.
A closeup of an insurance document with a pen signing its content.

Andy Omiridis: Thank you, Janelle, and good morning to everyone. For the fourth quarter of 2023, AMERISAFE reported net income of $19.2 million, or $1 per diluted share, and operating net income of $14.3 million, or $0.74 per diluted share. During the fourth quarter of 2022, net income was $20.8 million, or $1.08 per diluted share, and operating net income of $16.1 million, or $0.84 per diluted share. The lower net income was primarily driven by certain items in the quarter driving the expense ratio higher as well as less tax-exempt interest income driving a higher tax rate compared with the fourth quarter of 2022. For the full year, net income was $62.1 million, and net operating income was $55.9 million compared with $55.6 million and $59.3 million in the prior year, respectively.

Our total underwriting and other expenses were $19 million in the quarter, a 9% increase compared with the $17.4 million recognized in the prior year quarter. This increase resulted in an expense ratio of 28.9% compared with 26.4% in the fourth quarter of 2022. The increase was primarily due to wage inflation and an increase in insurance-related assessments. For the full year, the expense ratio was 29.3% compared with 26.5% in 2022. For the year, our tax rate was 19.7% compared to 17.8% in the prior year largely due to a lower proportion of tax-exempt income versus underwriting income in the quarter compared with the last year. Turning to our investment portfolio. In the fourth quarter, net investment income increased 5.7% to $8.1 million from $7.6 million in the prior year quarter.

For the full year, net investment income was $31.3 million compared with $27.2 million in 2022. The increase was driven by the yield on new investments, which exceeded that of portfolio roll off by approximately 200 basis points and drove the portfolio tax equivalent book yield to 3.69% or 31 basis points higher than the previous year. Realized gains for the portfolio on securities sold were $1.1 million in the quarter compared with $1 million during the fourth quarter of 2022. The investment portfolio is high quality, carrying an average AA- credit rating with a duration of 4.2 years. The composition of the portfolio is 61% in municipal bonds, 25% in corporate bonds, 4% in U.S. treasuries and agencies, 6% in equity securities and 4% in cash and other investments.

Approximately 60% of our bond portfolio is comprised of held-to-maturity securities. During the fourth quarter, interest rates moved noticeably lower, which improved the net unrealized loss position of held-to-maturity securities to $10.5 million from $35.1 million in the third quarter. As a reminder, these held-to-maturity securities are carried at amortized costs and therefore unrealized gains or losses on these securities are not reflected in our book value. Our capital position is strong with a high-quality balance sheet. For the year, the company returned $93.3 million to shareholders through a combination of regular and special dividends plus an additional $2.2 million of shares were repurchased. And finally, just a couple of other topics.

Book value per share was $15.28 after paying the special dividend in December 2023, a decrease of 7.8% from year-end 2022. And operating return on average equity was 17.4% for the quarter and 17.7% for the full year. Our statutory surplus was $254.9 million at year-end, up from $252.5 million at the prior year-end. And finally, tomorrow, February 23, 2024, we will be filing our 10-K with the SEC after market close. With that, I would like to open the call for the question-and-answer portion of the call. Operator?

Operator: Yes, sir. Thank you. [Operator Instructions] We'll take our first question from Matt Carletti with JMP Securities.

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