Intel sinks after first quarter outlook disappoints

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Intel's (INTC) stock took a major hit Friday, falling more than 10% after the chipmaker reported fourth quarter results that topped estimates, but missed badly on analysts' first quarter projections.

In the first quarter, Intel said it anticipates earnings per share of $0.13 on revenue of between $12.2 billion and $13.2 billion. Analysts were looking for $0.34 per share on revenue of $14.2 billion.

In particular, Intel CFO David Zinsner said the company expects to see revenue for its Data Center and AI business to decline by double-digit percent sequentially in Q1. CEO Pat Gelsinger, however, said that the declines are fairly seasonal quarter-to-quarter. That's after the business missed analysts' expectations in Q4, with revenue coming in $4 billion, short of $4.1 billion in revenue projected by Wall Street.

Both Zinsner and Gelsinger, however, said they expect to see growth in the segment beyond the first quarter. But analysts are looking for the company to report gains sooner than later.

The Data Center and AI business is Intel's opportunity to take on rivals including Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD). In December, CEO Pat Gelsinger showed off the company's upcoming Gaudi3 accelerator designed to power generative AI software and services.

Overall Intel reported Q4 adjusted earnings per share of $0.54 on revenue of $15.4 billion. That was better than the $0.44 on $15.2 billion analysts anticipated.

The chipmaker's Client Computing Group posted fourth quarter sales of $8.8 billion, better than the $8.4 billion forecast by analysts and up 33% from a year ago. Intel's Client Computing Group is still its main breadwinner, and with PC sales expected to return to growth throughout 2024, the segment will be especially important for the company in the year ahead.

Intel is hoping its Core Ultra line of chips will further goose PC sales in the year ahead as consumers and enterprise customers who purchased new laptops and desktops at the onset of the pandemic in 2020 begin to look for replacement devices.

The Core Ultra includes a neural processing unit, or NPU, which allows PCs to run certain AI applications locally rather than requiring users to rely on cloud-based applications. The idea is that NPUs will let users access AI apps without having to be online. That would ensure users’ data stays on their devices rather than requiring them to send it to an AI firm’s servers.

But it’s still unclear exactly how useful onboard AI will actually be for consumers. And even Intel admits that it’s not quite sure what AI applications will look like outside of a few early examples, such as local versions of ChatGPT-like apps and AI image-editing software.

Intel is also in the middle of its plan to become a foundry for other chip companies. Its Intel foundry services division is expected to have generated $291 million in revenue during the quarter, less than the $343 million expected by analysts.

On Wednesday, Intel announced the opening of its latest chip manufacturing facility in New Mexico. Intel is in the midst of a yearslong turnaround effort seeking to put the semiconductor maker back on top of the chip world after losing manufacturing leadership and market share to rivals like TSMC and AMD.

Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger speaks during an event called AI Everywhere in New York, Thursday, Dec. 14, 2023. Intel is introducing new products that are designed to be used with AI powered computers and applications. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger speaks during an event called AI Everywhere in New York, Thursday, Dec. 14, 2023. (Seth Wenig/AP Photo) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

Intel's results come as the company is seeking to push its own AI bona fides and follows the debut of its Core Ultra line of PC chips in December, which Intel says will let consumers run AI apps directly on their laptops and desktops.

Gelsinger said in a press release the company this year remains "relentlessly focused on achieving process and product leadership, continuing to build our external foundry business and at-scale global manufacturing, and executing our mission to bring AI everywhere as we drive long-term value for stakeholders."

Over the last six months, Intel stock had gained 45% before Friday's decline.

Daniel Howley is the tech editor at Yahoo Finance. He's been covering the tech industry since 2011. You can follow him on Twitter @DanielHowley.

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