JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (NASDAQ:JAKK) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript
JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (NASDAQ:JAKK) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript November 1, 2023
Operator: Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to the JAKKS Pacific Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call with management, who will review financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2023. JAKKS issued its earnings press release earlier today. The earnings release and presentation slides for today's call are available on the company's recently remodeled website in the Investor section. On the call this afternoon are Stephen Berman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and John Kimble, Chief Financial Officer. Stephen will first provide an overview of the quarter, along with the highlights of recent performance and current business trends. Then John will provide some additional editorial around JAKKS Pacific financial and operational results.
Mr. Berman will then return with additional comments and some closing remarks prior to opening-up the call for questions. Your line will be placed on mute for the first portion of the call. [Operator Instructions] Before we begin, the company would like to point out that any comments made about JAKKS Pacific's future performance, events or circumstances, including the estimates or sales, margins, and/or adjusted EBITDA in 2023, as well as any other forward-looking statements concerning 2023 and beyond are subject to Safe Harbor protection under Federal Security Laws. These statements reflect the company's best judgment based on current market trends and conditions today and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, which can cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements.
For details concerning these and other such risks and uncertainties, you should consult JAKKS most recent 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC, as well as the company's other reports subsequently filed with the SEC from time-to-time. In addition, today's comments by management will refer to non-GAAP financial measures such as adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share. Unless stated otherwise, the most directly comparable GAAP financial metric has been reconciled through the associated non-GAAP financial measures within the company's earnings press release issued today or previously. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Stephen Berman.
Stephen Berman: Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today. It's been a very busy quarter for JAKKS as Q3 often is with new product segments launching and plans for 2024 firming up. As you know, Q3 is always the highest shipping quarter for JAKKS. I'm proud to say we feel very confident in how we're lined up to finish the year as well as some of the initiatives the teams are working on for 2024 and beyond. We do at the beginning of the year that repeating 2022 revenue levels would be impossible feat without a total unexpected breakout hit as we had last year. With that sales outlook, we made gross margin improvement, a major focus as it is extremely important to our blueprint for enhancing overall margin. We have seen in our results, it's imperative in building and maintaining a strong balance sheet.
Our teams in Asia work methodically with our manufacturing partners to ensure that we are getting the sharpest possible pricing on legacy items entering their second or third years in the market. Separately, new product development continues to be regularly challenged to ensure we are stretching the team's creativity to generate value for the consumer and for our customers, while also ensuring cost mindful product designs. With Q3's results, we can see the dividends of those efforts paid off. Year-to-date, our gross margin of 32.5% is our strongest performance in this metric since 2011. Our year-to-date gross profit of $186.9 million is $6.9 million or 4% higher than a comparable period in 2022. That improvement has helped us to compensate for increases in SG&A expenses, such that our year-to-date operating margin of 12.7% represent an improvement of 11.5% operating margin we had in the first nine months of 2022.
The net results from an adjusted EBITDA view is $67.1 million in adjusted EBITDA in the quarter, up from $59.4 million in the same quarter last year. Our action play and collectibles business was up 43% in the quarter and 37% year-to-date accelerating its performance versus last quarter. Our Dolls, Role-Play and Dress Up segment is lapping that exceptional 2022 and was down approximately 27% in the quarter and 30% year-to-date off a larger base. As we pointed out last quarter, we still think it's worth noting that the Dolls segment is up significantly versus 2021, $247 million year-to-date this year versus $207 million year-to-date in 2021. This team is often a victim of its own and many successes. Our outdoor seasonal business showed some trend improvement, down only 2% in the quarter and slowing the year-to-date decline to 23%.
We have some quality placement of new items this fall and as mentioned we will see some new initiatives in the works, which we think can energize this business next year and beyond. Q3 is, of course, almost the most interesting time of year to discuss our Halloween costume business. The headline is the year has worked out in line with our expectations, which is a great outcome given how big the business has become. Last quarter, we discussed how the seasonality has moved around this year. So we saw it catching up this quarter with a 19% year-over-year growth in Q3. Year-to-date, we shipped $122 million through Q3, which is 9% lower than last year. As we mentioned before, some larger US customers recalibrated their buying levels this year after an aggressive 2022.
That drove most of the downside as our international business has been roughly flat year-to-date. We've been aggressively working on our distribution outside of North America and remain focused and committed to building that business to leverage our strength in North America. Again, to provide a 2021 reference plant that $122 million ship number is significantly higher than the $99 million we shipped in the first three quarters of 2021. So overall, another great year for the team as disguise [ph]. Moving on to a market view. The past quarter was also noteworthy and continuing our efforts to expand our overall business outside the United States. In Latin America, we are up and shipping 50-plus percent year-to-date. Although, we've had an office in Mexico for several years, this year we started offering selective domestic replenishment for key items via a local third-party warehouse.
This investment helps to evolate our year round on-shelf presence further proving the viability of our product line to local retailers. With this success, they can -- then company place the larger orders with us FOB in Asia consistent with our go-to-market approach. Over time, we also see as a potential platform for additional shipments into Latin America. And we're quickly seeing a positive reaction to retail with syndicated data suggesting we're up over 50% in Mexico year-over-year. Also in the quarter, we officially opened our dual-purpose office and warehouse facility in Northern Italy. We plan to start shipping from there in the New Year, which will generate a number of new benefits. Specifically, being able to serve a wider range of smaller customers more quickly and with improved economics in shipping smaller orders as individual deliveries from Northern Europe.
In addition, we onboarded a new team with deep industry experience in JAKKS France, a market where we know we've been underperforming during COVID. Although our COO, Jack McGrath, is officially not in his new role as President of European operations until the New Year, he has been spending a considerable amount of time and focus on addressing challenges in the region to accelerate our performance in 2024 and beyond. I couldn't be more excited about the opportunity presented but has taken his years of experience with JAKKS and focusing them on taking a fresh look on how we're doing business in the European markets. Switching now to talking about what we're seeing at retail. On the toy side, it's been the case all year and continued this past quarter when we look at our own data and syndicated data.
We see that the toy portion of our business continues to perform better than the overall industry in the US. The same has been true in some of our European markets where we also see syndicated data. Certainly, some of the great content from our studio partners is helping to drive people to the register this year, much as it did last year. But broadly, we've been pleased with how the total portfolio is performing this year, as we said last quarter. That being said, in Q3, we did see retail slowing. Retail sales at our top 3 US accounts were down low single digits year-to-date and down high single digits in the quarter. Separately, at the end of the quarter, retail inventory at the same accounts were down over 20% versus prior year, delivering on their goals to finish the calendar year at lower owned inventory levels.
As we work through this transitional year at retail, we mangers in stock across all of our key product segments and are set up well to fulfill demand in Q4. I will now pass it over to John for some further comments. After which I will come back to discuss Q4 and a bit about next year. John?
John Kimble: Thank you, Stephen, and hi, everybody. It's always great to report results after a $300 million sales quarter. We knew the first half of the year would have the most difficult comparisons as we were chasing business on a holiday 2021 film. In the second half of the year would also be challenging, but hopefully less so. That view is playing out in our results. Although down 20% as a total company in the first half of the year, we were down only 4% in Q3, shipping $310 million in the quarter. As Stephen pointed out, broadly speaking, the year is going about as well as we could have hoped. 2020 unleashed COVID 2021 had expensive freight. 2022 had warehouses overflowing. And so far, 2023 from the perspective of our business has had more positives than negatives.
What that means from a year-over-year perspective is twofold Bad things that happened in 2022 haven't reappeared and some additional good things have been additive. From a net sales perspective, both the Toy CP segment and costumes are tracking year-to-date at higher levels than anything in the 2019 to 2021 time period. And gross profit dollars for both segments are higher than any time in the past five years as well. There are a number of things happening with gross margin. In the quarter, it was 600 basis points improvement. So let me try to break that down. As Stephen referenced, the landed product cost improvement amounted to around 350 basis points. I'd say that was a mix of some of the good stuff that Stephen talked about earlier, but also last year on both the toy and costing businesses, we blew out some inventory at margins that weren't anything to brag about for a couple of different reasons that made sense at the time.
We also managed to avoid bleeding money by way of above average freight costs. That was a pickup of another 150 points. There are a number of other puts and takes, but I'll throw in for good measures at our REIT of retail last year was more markdown exposure than what we're seeing at this point this year. So that's also net-net favorable. And finally, this quarter, we began capitalizing a small portion of our tooling to our owned inventory valuation which has been an outstanding topic for sometime. But we've got around to figuring out how to get it done without the accounting being too cumbersome. So that was a one-time pickup of $1.8 million in the quarter. We have adjusted that depreciation dollar amount out of our adjusted EPS results. So to answer your question, we think we have line of sight to continue to hang out in this low-30 neighborhood on a full year basis.
But that's, of course, subject to minimizing stuff going wrong, nor does it contemplate any dramatic changes in our product mix which we don't anticipate in the near-term. We're losing a bit of scale with SG&A being up, but fortunately, the gross margin lift has been enough to generate operating margin improvement, which is great. That has allowed us to selectively invest in staff and infrastructure where appropriate, with the goal of being in a better place next year organizationally, despite revenue being down this year. We've also made some decisions like skipping the New York, tool [ph] this past quarter, which may not have generated massive financial savings, but certainly removed the layer of organizational distraction with nothing else.
In addition to the P&L, we're feeling good about the balance sheet. Our Q3 ending cash balance of $96.4 million is high for this time of the year. There are a couple of drivers. One is that we're trying to keep a tighter leash on inventory and turning it back into cash in a timely manner. Another is we've accepted the federal government's offer to California-based businesses for payroll and tax payments into October, which helped quite a bit. You'll notice in aggregate that our AP and taxes payable are up over $20 million versus this time last year. We remain debt free, as of the end of the quarter and as of today, the majority of the interest expense you see in the P&L is associated with some early payment discounts that we sporadically take advantage of to maximize liquidity.
We'll likely be doing less of that in the near-term given our current cash situation. Reduction in our cost of capital from our improved financial position increased the preferred share, liability valuation to $28.6 million, generating a non-cash loss of $800,000 in the quarter. As is customary, we adjust that amount out of our non-GAAP results. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $4.75 and $5.66 for the first nine months, those numbers are up from $3.80 and down from $5.68, respectively. From 2022, our trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA of $74.5 million. And now back to Stephen, for some additional remarks.
Stephen Berman: Thank you, John. Although we reviewed a lot of the key product initiatives last quarter, I wanted to provide a couple of quick updates and then share some new exciting news about 2024 and beyond. Last year, we mentioned it's been two years, since we first introduced the Disney ILY brand with Target in the U.S. That business has built steadily with them during that time and is currently putting up some very nice numbers in reaction to our fall 2023 lineup. The inspired by Stitch Dolls, both in the original 18-inch scale as well as our new introduction of Fashion Doll Scale have both been top sellers out of the gate. Overall, the Fashion Doll Scale has been well received when first hitting the shelves, and we are expected for more fans of these characters to find them this holiday season.
Last year, we are extremely excited to work with Target to bring their target toy store shopping Card to Life. And once again, on their Target Bullseye's Top Toy List for 2023, reflected its great performance this year. But the new news is the recent launch of the Target Cash Register Accessories items as an extension of our perfect acute line. It debuted during the quarter and has done extremely well, so far as we all thought it might. It's a great value and great fun for the consumer. Be sure to check out the photos in our presentation. Also be on the look for some new introductions in our outdoor season space this holiday season. The team has fought through a gain shelf space at key accounts across ball pits, activity tables and ride-ons.
We have some great new PAW Patrol ride-ons inspired by this summer's movie, which brings a lot of play to the classic play patterns. And during Q3, our product lineup and support of the Walt Disney animation studios Thanksgiving film release, which began to hit the shelf. This story focuses on a 17-year-old girl named Asha, a sharp winded idea list who makes a wish so powerful that it's answered by a cosmic force, a little ball of boundless energy called Star. We're super excited about the film and are playing a role as Disney continues to celebrate the 100th anniversary of its founding this year. Now for a couple of additional comments about 2024. We recently announced a new agreement with SEGA to support the Sonic Hedgehog 3 Paramount Pictures feature film set release on December 20, 2024.
As many of you know, we have worked with SEGA for many years on Sonic and other SEGA properties, inclusive of the first film in 2020. We are looking forward to bringing to market a new innovative range coming to a wide range of products that Sonic fans have come to expect from us, ranging from figures to plush, to play sets to costumes and more. Now moving on to our outdoor seasonal division. I'm extremely excited and happy to be able to talk about a multiyear worldwide relationship, we're starting with Authentic Brands Group, ABG. As you may know, ABG is a brown powerhouse with a wide portfolio of IP, which has mass appeal to millennials, Gen Z and Gen Y. JAKKS and ABG have been collaborating on a wide range of products that will slot into this division as well as expand the scope of our offerings.
We have been working on an iconic assortment of their properties, names like Roxy, Quicksilver, Element, Forever 21, Juicy Couture, Sports Illustrated, Prince, just to name a few. With designs and process already underway, customers can expect initial fall 2024 rollout escape boards with amazing new designs for Element and Quicksilver at specialty and mass retailers in-store and online. JAKKS will launch branded roller skates, Inline skates, Volleyballs, outdoor furniture, including chairs, umbrellas and canopies, beach accessories, inflatable pool floats, sanded flash mats, foldable wagons and an extensive line of dolls and dolls accessories infused with fashion elements from Forever 21, Juicy Couture, Prince, Sports Illustrated and Roxy. The strength of the authentic platform and family of IP will grow JAKKS specific product lines and outdoor categories while making the way for new collaborations with authentic on existing categories.
The addition of more spring and summer focused business also further leverages JAKKS' infrastructure to counterbalance its traditional Halloween holiday seasonality. So this relationship is really a great match for both of us. Reactions from various customers worldwide and the previews we've shown over the past couple of months of early product directions and initiatives were extremely, very favorable. So although there's still a lot of heavy work and lifting to be done. We are so excited about the potential here. I've personally been working on development of this business over the past year and can't wait for you to see some of the new products and product executions that we are currently working on today and in the future. But wait, there's more.
We are quick to tell everyone that this business is built brick by brick, a series of evergreen brands and categories centered around classic play patterns, that we feel persists and stand the test of time even in the increasingly digital world. And we've talked about how our successes in recent years have started new conversations and have created new ideas about business opportunities that marry up our unique role in the marketplace with different brand owners. And you've also heard us mention that when those businesses have an underlining content presence, it only adds to our ability to stay on top of mind with consumers and participate in the energy and excitement around top-tier content, quality and success. So with that foundation, I could be happy to share new news that in fall 2024, JAKKS will be launching an extensive product line dedicated to The Simpsons.
As a symptom as well into its record-breaking 35th season this fall, it continues to be one of the most popular series of both Fox and Disney Plus. The upcoming toy line is poised to inject even more excitement enjoy into this chairs franchise catering to fans of all ages with a diverse and engaging offerings. The toy line will feature a wide range of beloved caricatures from the show available in various forms, such as basic, deluxe and premium collector figures, playsets and plush toys along with items like advent calendars and other fun and creative choices inspired by the show's rich history. As you might imagine, our action plan and collectibles team has been having a tremendous time brainstorm in the plethora of product opportunities that this show represents, and we are honored as a company to be trusted with such an iconic franchise.
As I said at the beginning, it was a very busy quarter, but with the end of the year in sight, it is also extremely gratifying to see us lined up for completing another really successful year here at JAKK, while still seeing great opportunities for sustained growth in the new year to come. Thanks again for your support and interest. Operator?
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