Mortgage rates clock in at 6.87%, will remain higher for longer, experts say
The rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage increased from 6.74% a week ago, according to Freddie Mac.
Mortgage rates surged closer to 7% this week, a blow to hopeful homebuyers this spring.
The rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage increased to 6.87% from 6.74% the week prior, according to Freddie Mac. Rates tilted higher as inflation remained hotter than expected, leading to the Fed putting off any potential rate cuts until summer.
The uptick in rates caused some rate-sensitive homebuyers to retreat from the market, as affordability remains a top concern for the entry-level pool. Those looking to refinance also backed away from their plans as the chances of grabbing a lower rate slipped away.
Still, housing experts remain hopeful about the direction of affordability as more inventory trickles into the market.
“The housing market continues to face elevated mortgage rates, high prices, and low for-sale inventory,” said Hannah Jones, senior economic research analyst at Realtor.com. “As the spring season approaches, many buyers and sellers are getting warmed up to enter the housing market.”
Demand falters as rates jump higher
As mortgage rates rebounded, both refinance and purchase activity faltered — a recurring theme this season.
The volume of applications to refinance a home fell 3% for the week ending March 15 and was 3% lower than the same week a year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).
Demand for refinance had gained surprising momentum in the weeks leading up to March 8, with applications up 12%. The sudden jump in activity was due to a larger 24% increase in the government refinance index, the MBA noted, as homeowners who purchased at top rates last year were closely attuned to any opportunity to snatch a lower rate.
But as rates rebounded this week, that window of opportunity closed.
Read more: Mortgage rates hover around 7% — is this a good time to buy a house?
Purchase applicants also retreated from the market, with the volume of applications to buy a home down 1% for the week and 14% lower than the same week a year ago.
“Most homebuyers are sensitive to interest rates, which is why we see mortgage applications increase when rates fall and decline with rates increase,” said Bright MLS chief economist Dr. Lisa Sturtevant.
“However, not all homebuyers are equally sensitive to interest rates,” she added. “The number of cash buyers has increased. In many markets, these cash buyers are not investors but regular home buyers who have accrued significant equity in an existing home that they can roll over into the purchase of a new home.”
Just getting into a home has become more expensive. Mortgage News Daily, which tracks rates daily, revealed that rates surpassed 7% last week and have remained above that threshold as of March 20.
For first-time homebuyers, in particular, the fluctuation of rates has been a tough blow — especially as inventory of entry-level homes remains scarce and competition for homes within their price point is picking up.
According to the National Association of Realtors, the average price of a previously owned home increased to $384,500 in February, marking the eighth consecutive month of year-over-year price gains. The median price was also 5.7% higher than a year earlier.
“Additional housing supply is helping to satisfy market demand,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun. “Housing demand has been on a steady rise due to population and job growth, though the actual timing of purchases will be determined by prevailing mortgage rates and wider inventory choices.”
Buyers and sellers need to adjust to ‘new normal’ in rates
Mortgage rates were elevated after data last week showed inflation and payroll numbers came in stronger than expected, which fueled concerns about the timing of the Fed’s plans to issue rate cuts this year.
Federal Reserve officials expect three interest rate cuts this year, which should help ease pressure on overall borrowing costs when they come to pass. However, when those rate cuts will happen remains to be seen.
“There is some uncertainty in the housing market as we head into spring,” said Sturtevant. “The Federal Reserve likely will put off rate cuts until the summer, which suggests that mortgage rates will not come down much in the first half of the year. Buyers and sellers seem to be adjusting to the ‘new normal’ of mortgage rates above 6.5%.”
Still, there’s some hope that buyers will see mortgage rates start to ease sooner rather than later.
“As we enter the spring homebuying season, we still anticipate rates will decrease in the coming months,” said MBA president and CEO Bob Broeksmit.
Gabriella Cruz-Martinez is a personal finance and housing reporter at Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X @__gabriellacruz.
