TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (NYSE:TPVG) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

In this article:

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (NYSE:TPVG) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript March 6, 2024

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. misses on earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $0.47 EPS, expectations were $0.49. TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all lines have been placed in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, there will be an opportunity to ask questions and instructions will follow at that time. This conference is being recorded and a replay of the call will be available in an audio webcast on the Triplepoint Venture Growth website. Company management is pleased to share with you the company's results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year of 2023. Today, representing the company is Jim Lebe, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board; Sajal Srivastava, President and Chief Investment Officer; and Chris Mathieu, Chief Financial Officer.

Before I turn the call over to Mr. Lebe, I'd like to direct your attention to the customary safe harbor disclosure in the company's press release regarding forward-looking statements and remind you that during this call, management will make certain statements that relate to future events or the company's future performance or financial condition, which are considered forward-looking statements under Federal Securities Law. You are asked to refer to the company's most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. The company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements or projections unless required by law.

Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements made during the call, which reflect management's opinions only as of today. To obtain copies of our latest SEC filings, please visit the company's website at www.tpvg.com. Now I'd like to turn the conference over to Mr. Lebe. Please go ahead.

James Labe: Thanks. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to TPVG's fourth quarter earnings call. As expected, venture capital markets continued to be challenging during the fourth quarter. Consistent to what we have seen and been talking about over the last year, the venture industry continues to be affected by macroeconomic uncertainties, restrictive monetary policies, inflationary supply chain issues, public versus private market valuation disconnects, a changing investment landscape, geopolitical and other issues. These market challenges, which are impacting venture growth stage companies, especially hard, contributed to our NAV decline. We'll cover the contributing factors, including the effects certain industry sectors have had on a number of our companies, some realized losses, and the unrealized quarterly markdowns on the debt portfolio, and unrealized markdowns on the warrant and equity portfolios, given current market headwinds.

Against this backdrop, we remain focused on our established and in-place priorities, which we believe will enable us to navigate through these current market conditions, including maintaining our earnings power and our strong liquidity, managing the portfolio, and positioning TPVG for the future. Turning to our earnings power, we generated Q4 net investment income of $17.3 million, or $0.47 per share, enabling us once again to over-earn our $0.40 -per-share regular quarterly dividend, including the first quarter dividend, cumulative dividends to shareholders since going public almost 10 years ago now total $15.05 per share. During this time, we've exceeded our distributions on a cumulative basis and continue to maintain sizable spillover income.

For the fourth quarter, TPVG once again maintained a strong weighted average portfolio yield as we generated a 15.6% weighted average annualized yield that was largely driven by continued favorable interest rates and supplemented by additional income from loan prepayments. During the quarter, we enhanced our liquidity as we continued to experience repayment activity and modestly utilized our ATM program. Notably, TPVG's liquidity now exceeds our unfunded commitment and provides us with the capacity to capitalize in new investment opportunities, especially when the market begins to recover. While we've been allocating limited capital to TPVG, we expect to increase our allocations in the second half of this year. Turning to the venture markets, 2023 proved to be a very challenging year.

Pick up almost any venture industry research publication, such as CB Insights or the NVCA's Pitch Book, and you'll find headers covering 2023, such as US venture capital deal volume being at 10-year lows, late stage deal sizes following more than half since 2021, and venture unicorn investing being at 10-year lows. VC down rounds last year were at their highest level since 2017. Total 2023 US deal value was a staggering $175 billion less than 2021. And venture capital backed company shutdowns and bankruptcies increased. 2023 also had the fewest annual VC-backed IPO since 2013, a prime vehicle for exits for venture growth stage companies. And last quarter saw 50% decline in quarterly deal value for VC company acquisitions. To quote the words stated recently by a prominent venture capitalist, it's been a venture winter.

We believe the dramatic drop in deal investment activity and the public-private market evaluation disconnect has affected the growth stages and its investors the most. Non-traditional investors and other investors in the growth market have paused or remain on the sidelines. This change has also affected our growth stage companies, many of which had planned for either an IPO or potential acquisition in the one to three-year time period or so after their last financing rounds. Given the market downturn, our priority remains on closely managing our portfolio. Our teams maintain close contact with our companies and their venture investors, while remaining heads down working through credit situations. Given the challenging capital raising environment for venture growth companies, for some companies we believe we will see continued pressure on valuations and the potential for inside rounds.

Some companies are further reducing burn and executing on a path to profitability. Still others, however, as Saja will get into more detail, are raising outside capital rounds. It's about effectively operating in the new market reality given the compressed multiples and reduced exit opportunities I've been outlining. Investors continue to migrate to sectors with more favorable multiples and outlooks than the sectors of the past, given these market conditions. Our select venture capital investors continue to shift into and have increasing investment focus in fields such as AI, cyber security, climate, and digital health. There's increased or renewed interest in vertical software, hardware and robotics, semiconductors, applied tech, clean tech, environmental or sustainability technologies and aerospace as examples.

While we continue our efforts to diversify across sectors and limit our geographic exposure, there are a number of our portfolio companies that are already operating in these favorable investment categories with some making considerable progress. As an example, portfolio companies such as Core Lite, Loft Orbital, Hover, Arcadia Power, Flash, Kalderos, Overtime, and others are making notable progress in achieving their plans and they're reflective of these in-favor industries. We're also pleased to highlight a few notable portfolio company developments. This includes Metropolis, which announced its acquisition of SP Plus and secured $1.7 billion in equity and debt, which is subject to regulatory approval and expected to close by year's end. Another company, Cohesity, announced its planned acquisition of Veritas' data protection business with a combined value of $7 billion.

There's a few other portfolio companies which have received active term sheets for very large equity rounds where we expect to see more development in this current quarter. Another priority is to focus on enhancing our long-term positioning in the venture lending market. With 2023 behind us, and while we believe the industry slowdown will still continue through much of 2024, we're focusing on what we expect to be a more promising year for TPVG. We will continue to position ourselves to capitalize on new investment opportunities, those that reflect today's market for venture growth stage companies. We're encouraged by the more than 70% increase in signed term sheets last quarter versus the previous quarter. Already this quarter to date, we have more than 70 million of additional signed term sheets.

We intend to remain on our path of diversifying the portfolio and sector rotation we have been describing on these calls and expect to be less active in e-commerce and making investments outside of the U.S. We will further focus on investing in companies that have recently raised fresh capital, have ample cash runways, have backing from our select venture investors, have prudent management teams, and whose business models have attractive unit economics and high retention rates. And ideally, these companies that have large enterprise customers. We'll also continue to evaluate hold sizes, debt-to-equity ratios, deal structures, and other key metrics in this market. In summary, 2023 was a tough year for the venture capital industry. And while we expect the venture growth stage will continue to have challenges in the near term, the path to stabilization for many companies continues in this environment.

And we believe it will result in the potential for additional positive developments, recoveries, and outcomes for our portfolio. We remain active in the market and continue to build a pipeline consisting of venture growth companies positioned for strength under the current conditions, which are all critical elements for the long term that we believe position us to build NAV and create sustainable shareholder value. We believe that once the IPO markets come back and M&A activity picks back up to more average levels. It will be a marked change for venture growth stage companies, especially those companies within our portfolio that are outperforming in this market. It will also attract growth stage investors to come back into the market. As this year progresses, we will concentrate on delivering strong investment income, over earning our dividend, building our pipeline, managing our portfolio and credit quality, and building on our strong liquidity.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Sajal.

Sajal Srivastava: Thank you, Jim, and good afternoon. Let me begin by reviewing our performance in Q4 and full year 2023, as well as highlight key expectations for 2024. Regarding investment portfolio activity during Q4, Triplepoint Capital signed $100 million term sheets with venture growth stage companies, compared to $58 million of term sheets in Q3, reflecting the increase in the strength of our pipeline, which we believe will result in higher investment activity in 2024. For the full year, Triplepoint Capital signed $471 million in term sheets with venture growth stage couples. With regards to new investment allocation to TPVG during the fourth quarter, given both current market conditions and TPVG's leverage ratio, we allocated a modest $4.2 million in new commitments with two companies to TPVG compared to $5.6 million to three companies in Q3.

The commitments made during the fourth quarter were to existing portfolio companies. For the full year, we closed $31.5 million of debt commitments with 10 companies at TPVG, of which two were new companies and eight were existing portfolio companies. During the fourth quarter, TPVG funded $24.4 million in debt investments to six portfolio companies, up from $12.7 million in Q3. This funding level came in at the lower end of our guided range for the quarter, reflecting a lower utilization of unfunded commitments. These funded investments carried a weighted average annualized portfolio yield of 18.8% at origination, up from 14.2% in Q3. For the full year, we funded $125.3 million to 23 companies with a 15.6% weighted average portfolio yield at origination.

During Q4, we had $33.7 million of loan prepayments, resulting in an overall weighted average portfolio yield of 15.6%, up from 15.1% in Q3. Excluding prepayments, core portfolio yield was 14.4%, up from 14.1% in Q3. For the full year, we had $104.7 million of loan prepayments, resulting in an overall weighted average portfolio yield of 15.4% up from 14.7% in 2022. Core portfolio yield excluding prepayments was 14.7% for the full year, up from 13.4% in 2022. With regards to fundraising activity, five portfolio companies with debt outstanding raised $157 million during the quarter, up materially from $47 million last quarter, bringing our total to 19 companies with outstanding debt, raising $594 million during Q3. This data does not include Metropolis's announced financing acquisition, which is expected to close in 2024.

An experienced asset manager in front of a bank of financial information screens, working on a complex deal.
An experienced asset manager in front of a bank of financial information screens, working on a complex deal.

In 2022, 36 portfolio companies raised over $2.4 billion of capital. As we look to 2024, we are beginning to see capital raising activity within our portfolio picking up, with two portfolio companies already having raised over $445 million of capital here in Q1, and a number of portfolio companies are either in active fundraising discussions or expecting to launch a fundraising process shortly. We are seeing round sizes increase, and in a few cases, valuations higher than prior rounds. This fundraising activity should bode well for the long-term credit quality of our portfolio companies, as well as for the potential value of our warrant and equity portfolio. With regards to exit activity, during the quarter, our portfolio company [Alvic] (ph), also known as [Lola] (ph), was acquired by existing portfolio company Forum Brands, and our loan to Lola was assumed by Forum Brands in full.

Closed M&A events for the full year were flat with 2022 levels, and IPOs within our portfolio were down from 2022. As of December 31, 2023, we held warrants in 97 companies and held equity investments in 46 companies with a total cost of $70 million and fair value of $72 million. Our warren and equity portfolio experienced a $15.5 million net unrealized reduction in fair value, or $0.43 per share for the quarter, and $23.6 million, or $0.66 per share for the full year, driven primarily by the disparity between private and public market multiples with fair value companies that have not raised new rounds, as well as in some cases the impact of down valuations from new capital raise. $12.6 million, or roughly 80% of the reduction in fair value during Q4 was attributable to three of our financial technology companies, Revolut, WorldRemit and Upgrade, given the considerable time that has elapsed since their last private rounds of financing, which were raised at peak periods for valuation multiples for financial technology companies, compared with the current range evaluation multiples for publicly traded financial technology companies.

We now generally utilize current market comparables and multiples to value them based on available actual performance, rather than projected performance as well. Generally speaking, although our marks this quarter value these FinTech companies at significant discounts from their last round valuations, we believe they all have the potential for meaningful upside when they ultimately experience an exit event, whereas they potentially raise future rounds of finance. It should be noted that yesterday's announcement by Monzo, another financial technology portfolio company, of raising $430 million at a $5 billion post-money valuation will be a helpful data point not only for our fair value mark for Monzo here in Q1, but also for supporting the value of our other private financial technology companies.

We continue to have a number of portfolio companies that are growing and executing either according to, or in many cases ahead of plan, including some that are achieving positive EBITDA. These include companies in the software, enterprise, cyber, health and wellness, travel, as well as FinTech segments, which is why we continue to anticipate the potential for gains from our warrant and equity investments. Cohesity, Metropolis, and Monzo are all great examples of events occurring or on track to occur in 2024 that could drive value for our portfolio. Turning to realized losses, all of our realized losses during Q4 were from companies that had been on our watch list as of Q3. Events now have been concluded at these companies, with approximately two-thirds of the actual losses realized in the fourth quarter having already previously been reflected on an unrealized basis in prior quarters, but given unanticipated developments at a few of these companies during the quarter, additional losses were incurred.

The first one, demand, also known as Luko, was previously rated category five. Luko announced last year that it was going to be acquired by Admiral Insurance, as well as its intent to sell certain business units and assets to other parties through a bankruptcy process. Unfortunately, Admiral walked from the acquisition days prior to closing. The company, however, was able to quickly find another insurance company, Allianz Direct, to agree to acquire the company for a lower price. But in the surprise to all the parties involved, the bankruptcy court rejected the agreement, and the company was ultimately liquidated. We realized a loss of $17 million, of which $6 million had been previously recognized on an unrealized basis, and an additional $11 million was recognized during the quarter, given the unanticipated rejection, and have removed the company from our watch list.

Mystery Tackle Box was previously rated category three. In Q4, we realized the loss to include both previously recognized amounts and our remaining $4 million exposure as of Q3, given a failed M&A process and negative developments during the quarter in their subsequent asset sale to a third party and have removed the loan from our watch list. Untitled Labs, which operated under the name Made Renovations, was previously rated category five. In Q4, we reduced our expectation for recovery to $500,000 and realized a loss equal to our remaining exposure of $2.2 million and amounts previously recognized on an unrealized basis, given negative developments during the quarter and their subsequent asset sale to a third party, and have removed the company from our watch list.

Finally, during the quarter, VanMoof, a Category 5 loan closed its sale to MA Micro Holdings. Our investment in the new company include a combination of debt investments and a convertible loan position. We value these investments consistent with our fair value march as of Q3 of $5.1 million, and realize the loss in Q4 equal to the amounts previously recognized on an unrealized basis. The convertible investment has the potential for future upside as the company grows in value over time or in an exit event. MA Micro Holdings has been added to Category 4 on the watch list, and VanMoof has been removed. Our final recoveries have been lower than what we've experienced historically. We believe this is due to the conditions in both the M&A and venture capital markets, where given the combination of fewer active M&A players and the lack of viable alternatives for companies, such as raising more equity capital, acquirers have had greater negotiating power and have walked away or are willing to walk away from deals resulting in lower recoveries despite the revenue profile, invested capital, customer validation, and even intellectual property of our portfolio companies.

With regards to credit watch list activity for the rest of the portfolio, during the quarter we upgraded [indiscernible] from Category 2 to Category 1 as a result of closing equity round. Three companies were downgraded from Category 2 to Category 3, primarily due to sector concern or short runway in conjunction with their financing or strategic events, although two of the three have now signed term sheets for those events. The majority of the companies in Category 3 comprise e-commerce and consumer portfolio companies, which as we explained last quarter, are experiencing continued challenges as they manage through ongoing market inspector-specific issues, as well as difficulty in the fundraising and M&A markets. Two companies were downgraded to Category 4 during the quarter due to developments in their fundraising and/or strategic events.

However, both have raised incremental capital and are making progress. The remaining two Category 4 companies include ROLI, which had a strong 2023, including substantial revenue growth and incremental capital raises, and Project 1920, also known as Cenrv, which continues to pursue its strategic and other fundraising efforts. Underground enterprises, our Category 5 loan, continues through its liquidation process, and we expect to finalize a recovery and remove it from Category 5 over the course of this year. With regards to our objectives and goals in 2024, as mentioned earlier, we believe that the venture capital market conditions may improve over the course of the year. In terms of our expectations for portfolio growth, our forecast for quarterly gross investment fundings is in the range of $25 million to $50 million for each quarter.

Given our existing significant liquidity position and our expectations for at least one prepayment per quarter, we believe that by returning to portfolio growth and by focusing on smaller hold sizes, we continue along our goal of increased portfolio diversification and industry sector rebalancing. As we look to onboarding new loans, we intend to maintain our strong yield profile, not only by holding spreads, but also by continuing to incorporate fixed rate investments, which along with anticipated portfolio growth will bode well for our ability to continue to cover our dividend. Our priority will be to continue to monitor our existing portfolio and manage existing credit situations and the potential for improving market conditions in the private and public markets should be helpful.

In closing, we remain focused on all aspects of our business and will continue to follow our long-term playbook of generating strong returns for our shareholders, growing net asset value, and further nurturing strong relationships with our select venture capital partners in order to build a high quality and durable portfolio for what we believe could be a developing peak period for venture capital and venture lending returns. With that, I will now turn the call over to Chris.

Christopher Mathieu: Thank you, Sajal, and hello everyone. During the fourth quarter, we continued to generate strong interest income from our diversified loan portfolio. This was driven by increased yields compared to those at origination as a result of multiple increases in the U.S. prime rate since March of 2022. Leverage increased in the quarter as prepayments totaling $34 million were offset by a decline in net asset value. At the same time, we made further progress reducing unfunded commitment levels in the fourth quarter, and as a result, TPVG has significant liquidity at the ready to support our existing portfolio companies, satisfy our unfunded commitments, and make selective new investments. For the fourth quarter, total investment income was $33 million with a portfolio yield of 15.6% as compared to $35 million with a portfolio yield of 15.3% for the prior year period.

Total investment income for the full year of 2023 increased 15% to a record $137 million. This compared to $119 million for the prior year period. For the fourth quarter, total operating expenses were $15.7 million, as compared to $14.5 million for the prior year period. These expenses consisted of $8.3 million of interest expense, $4.5 million of base management fees, $600,000 of administrative expense, and $2.3 million of G&A expense. Due to the shareholder-friendly total return requirement under the incentive fee structure, there were no incentive fees this quarter. Total operating expenses for the full year of 2023 totaled $63.7 million as compared to $55.9 million for the prior year period, a 14% increase. For the fourth quarter, net investment income totaled $17.3 million or $0.47 per share compared to $20.5 million or $0.58 per share for the prior year period.

Total investment income for the full year of 2023 increased 16%, totaling $73.8 million as compared to $63.6 million for the prior year period. For the fourth quarter, net realized losses on investments totaled $52 million. This was primarily in connection with the write-off of investments of four portfolio companies. Of note, $32.5 million or 63% of this amount was previously included in unrealized losses and was reclassified from unrealized to realized. As such, $32.5 million of the net realized losses in Q4 had no impact on net asset value. For the fourth quarter, net change in unrealized gains on investments was $6 million, consisting of $34.1 million from the reversal of previously recorded unrealized losses from investments realized during the period, reduced by $12.6 million of net unrealized losses on the existing debt investment portfolio, and $15.5 million of net unrealized losses on the existing warrant and equity portfolio, resulting all from fair value adjustments.

As of year-end, net asset value was $346.3 million or $9.21 per share. We declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share with a record date of March 14th to be paid on March 29th. Based on our success over earning the dividend, we have undistributed spillover income of $41.5 million or $1.10 per share as of year-end. Given the ongoing elevated yields and size of the income producing loan portfolio, dividend coverage remains strong throughout all of 2023. We believe that given the historically strong level of over-earned dividends and substantial level of spillover income, the current level of regular quarterly dividends are expected to be stable. Now just to update on unfunded investment commitments, the balance sheet leverage and overall liquidity.

We ended the year with $118 million of floating rate unfunded investment commitments, of which $29 million was dependent upon the portfolio company reaching certain milestones. This level of commitments represents a 64% decline from a year ago and bodes well for new investment capacity in 2024. As of December 31st 2023 approximately 60% in principal balance of the debt portfolio in our portfolio [indiscernible] interest debt floating rates. As of year-end, an aggregate of $610 million of debt was outstanding, consisting of $395 million of fixed rate investment grade term notes, and $215 million outstanding on our floating rate revolving credit facility. We ended the year with a 1.76 times gross leverage ratio and our net leverage ratio, which is net of cash on hand, was 1.27 times.

Given the reduced unfunded commitment levels, the near-term prepayments already discussed, and selective ongoing use of the ATM program, we expect to delever the balance sheet during the first half of 2024. As of year-end, the company had liquidity of $307 million, consisting of $172 million in cash and $135 million available under the revolving credit facility. Similar to prior quarters, near quarter end, we drew down on our credit facility to enhance our investment flexibility pursuant to the certain 1940 Act requirements. Right after the end of the quarter, we paid down the credit facility, decreased leverage and increased availability under the credit facility for future draws as appropriate. We continued to access the capital markets by using our ATM program.

And during the quarter, we raised $15.2 million. And for the full year, raised $21.4 million under the ATM program. At this point, this completes our prepared remarks. And operator, could you please open the line for questions at this time.

See also 27 Most Charitable Countries in the World and 13 States That Don’t Tax Retirement Income.

To continue reading the Q&A session, please click here.

Advertisement