|Bid||65.35 x 500|
|Ask||65.36 x 500|
|Day's Range||63.92 - 65.41|
|52 Week Range||42.27 - 67.30|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Earnings Date||Apr 26, 2018|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||1.14 (1.73%)|
|1y Target Est||68.33|
ConocoPhillips (COP) is seeing favorable earnings estimate revision activity and has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP heading into earnings season.
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Today I will take a look at ConocoPhillips’s (NYSE:COP) most recent earnings update (31 December 2017) and compare these latest figures against its performance over the past few years, asRead More...
As of April 19, Reuters reported 23 analysts with recommendations on COP. Of these, ~17% have “strong buy” ratings, ~52% analysts have “buy” ratings, and ~31% analysts have “hold” ratings on COP. There’s no “sell” or “strong sell” recommendation on the stock.
In the last four quarters, ConocoPhillips (COP) beat consensus EPS (earnings per share) estimates in 2Q17 and 3Q17. However, COP missed EPS estimates in 1Q17 and met EPS estimates in 4Q17. So, in the last four quarters, COP beat consensus EPS estimates 50% of the time, missed consensus EPS estimates 25% of the time, and met consensus EPS estimates 25% of the time.
Wall Street analysts expect ConocoPhillips (COP) to report ~32% higher operating cash flow year-over-year, at ~$2.4 billion in 1Q18, up from ~$1.8 billion in 1Q17. COP’s year-over-year higher estimated 1Q18 operating cash flow could be attributed to higher crude oil prices. However, on a sequential basis, COP’s estimated 1Q18 operating cash flow is ~4% lower than its ~$2.5 billion in 4Q17.
For 1Q18, ConocoPhillips (COP) expects total production in a range of 1,180–1,220 Mboepd (thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day). On a year-over-year basis, the midpoint of ConocoPhillips’s 1Q18 production guidance range is ~24% lower than its 1Q17 production of 1,584 Mboepd. Even sequentially, ConocoPhillips’s 1Q18 production guidance is ~2% lower, compared with 4Q17 production of 1219 Mboepd. ConocoPhillips’s 1Q18 production guidance excludes production from Libya.
For 1Q18, Wall Street analysts expect ConocoPhillips (COP) to report revenues of ~$8.9 billion. On a year-over-year basis, COP’s 1Q18 revenue expectations are ~14% higher than its 1Q17 revenues of ~$7.8 billion. Sequentially, ConocoPhillips’s 1Q18 revenue expectations are ~2% higher than its 4Q17 revenues of ~$8.7 billion.
ConocoPhillips (COP) is set to report its 1Q18 earnings on April 26 before the market opens. For 1Q18, excluding any one-time items, the current consensus net income estimate for ConocoPhillips is ~$797 million. On a year-over-year basis, COP is expected to turn its loss from last year into profit. In 1Q17, COP reported adjusted loss of ~$177 million. Even on a sequential basis, and excluding any one-time items, COP’s 1Q18 consensus net income estimate is ~48% higher compared with a profit of ~$540 million in 4Q17.
In the last four quarters, Southwestern Energy (SWN) beat the consensus EPS estimates in 1Q17 and 4Q17. However, SWN missed the EPS estimates in 2Q17 and 3Q17. Thus, in the last four quarters, SWN beat the consensus EPS estimate 50% of the time, and missed the consensus EPS estimate 50% of the time.
For 1Q18, Southwestern Energy (SWN) expects total production of 226 Bcfe (billion cubic feet equivalent). On a year-over-year basis, Southwestern Energy’s 1Q18 production guidance is ~11% higher when compared with 1Q17 production of 204 Bcfe.
Shares of ConocoPhillips (COP) are lower on Thursday, following a pair of analyst downgrades. Edward Jones’ Brian Youngberg cut his rating on the oil giant to Hold from Buy, and also removed it from the firm's Equity Income Buy List. There's other good news as well, including the fact that ConocoPhillips is reducing debt and has a healthy free-cash-flow profile, which will likely allow it to bring its dividend back up in line with peers, but Youngberg argues that all the good news is now priced into the stock.
Of the 30 analysts covering Encana (ECA) on April 16, 2018, ~30% recommended “strong buy,” ~67% recommended “buy,” and ~3% recommended “hold.” There were no “sell” or “strong sell” recommendations.
In the last four quarters, Encana (ECA) has beaten analysts’ EPS (earnings per share) estimates three times, missing their estimate in 3Q17. Encana announced its 4Q17 earnings on February 15, 2018, before the market opened. It reported revenue of ~$1.2 billion, higher than analysts’ estimate of ~$1.1 billion. The company beat analysts’ EPS estimate by $0.02 in 4Q17, reporting adjusted EPS of $0.12 against the $0.10 estimate. Following the earnings release, Encana stock fell from $11.23 to $10.48 in two weeks, despite beating estimates.
On March 29, 2018, ConocoPhillips’ (COP) total shares shorted (short interest) stood at ~23.9 million, whereas its average daily volume stood at ~6.6 million, making COP’s short interest ratio ~3.6x.
On April 13, 2018, ConocoPhillips (COP) had an implied volatility of ~27.6%, higher than its implied volatility of ~26.5% on March 30, 2018.
As we learned in the previous article, ConocoPhillips’s (COP) stock price rose an impressive ~10% in the week that ended on April 13, 2018. It’s clear that COP’s stock price has outperformed crude oil’s price. In this article, we’ll try to quantify the correlation between COP stock and crude oil.
In the week that ended on April 13, 2018, crude oil (USO) prices rose significantly from $62.06 per barrel to $67.39 per barrel, a rise of almost 9%. Crude oil prices saw a very strong positive trend within the week, rising on all five days.
Apr.19 -- Colombian Finance Minister Mauricio Cardenas discusses the global impact of the U.S.-China trade dispute, the outlook for the Colombian peso, and the country's monetary policy. He speaks with Bloomberg's Francine Lacqua on "Bloomberg Daybreak: Americas."