|Bid||221.04 x 800|
|Ask||221.48 x 1400|
|Day's Range||220.84 - 222.85|
|52 Week Range||151.70 - 225.40|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.37|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||9.88|
|Earnings Date||Jan 15, 2020|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||5.00 (2.25%)|
|1y Target Est||237.68|
Wells Fargo Senior Analyst Mike Mayo joins Yahoo Finance’s The Final Round to discuss what he expects from the Fed and big banks in the year ahead.
(Bloomberg) -- Explore what’s moving the global economy in the new season of the Stephanomics podcast. Subscribe via Apple Podcast, Spotify or Pocket Cast.President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is taking deeper cuts in Turkish interest rates for granted, and so is the market.Just as he’s done ahead of all three policy decisions since installing a new central banker in July, Erdogan sounded off on monetary matters again in the days before this week’s meeting, saying “we will be moving to single digits in interest rates in 2020.”It’s a ritual the central bank completed each time by decreasing rates. And while most economists disagree with Erdogan’s view that lower borrowing costs bring down inflation, not one in a Bloomberg survey doubts that the march of rate cuts will continue on Thursday.The only disagreement is about the boldness with which the Monetary Policy Committee might act at its last scheduled meeting this year: expectations for a rate cut range between 50 and 200 basis points. Governor Murat Uysal has exceeded forecasts at every meeting he’s led since taking the job, delivering 10 percentage points of easing that brought the benchmark to 14%.Erdogan’s fixation on low rates is hardly the only reason for easing, with the economy just beginning to gain momentum after a recession. Even as inflation bounced back in November, it didn’t heat up as much as expected, ensuring that Turkey still boasts one of the highest real rates in emerging markets.Inflation began to soar in June 2018 after a crash in the lira touched off a surge in domestic prices across the import-dependent economy. After peaking at 25.2% last year, it plunged into single digits before a pickup to an annual 10.6% in November.Price Driver“Lira developments have been the most important driver of inflation and inflation surprises,” Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists Murat Unur and Clemens Grafe said in a report. “Given that the favorable base effects are behind us, and assuming no major shocks to the exchange rate, underlying domestic inflationary pressures will likely be the main driver of Turkish inflation looking forward.”Among the few brakes on Turkey’s easing cycle is Uysal’s pledge to preserve “a reasonable rate of real return” for investors, a guideline he’s declined to make more specific. Given that the central bank projects inflation will end this year at 12% and then continue to accelerate through the first quarter, the space for monetary easing could be limited.Policy makers have also increased the number of their meetings next year to 12, from eight in 2019, a decision that could allow them to move in smaller steps if they chase Erdogan’s goal of single-digit rates.Turk Central Bank Increases Rate Meetings After Erdogan BacklashShould the central bank act in line with most forecasts and cut its benchmark by 150 basis points, Turkey’s real rate will drop to 1.9% -- still in line with most peers -- but then likely fall below 1% after December, according to Phoenix Kalen, a strategist at Societe General SA in London.Turkey’s currency is already on track this month for the worst performance in emerging markets against the dollar with a loss of almost 1%.“The plunge in Turkey’s real policy rate may leave assets vulnerable to capital flight, quickening the pace of the lira’s spot deterioration in 2020,” Kalen said. “The more frequent opportunities to revise the monetary policy stance mean that there are fewer compelling reasons to take actions that may be difficult for the market to digest.”(Updates with economist comment in seventh paragraph)\--With assistance from Harumi Ichikura.To contact the reporter on this story: Cagan Koc in Istanbul at firstname.lastname@example.orgTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Onur Ant at email@example.com, Paul Abelsky, Mark WilliamsFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
(Bloomberg) -- Explore what’s moving the global economy in the new season of the Stephanomics podcast. Subscribe via Apple Podcast, Spotify or Pocket Cast.Brazil cut its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point to a record low and said it will exercise caution in its next monetary policy decision, leaving the door open for additional easing.The bank’s board, led by its President Roberto Campos Neto, on Wednesday lowered the Selic rate to 4.5%, as forecast by all 53 economists in a Bloomberg survey. While many analysts expected policy makers to signal this was the end of the monetary easing cycle, the statement accompanying the decision highlighted that inflation remains at comfortable levels and that future decisions will be data dependent.The central bank “judges that the current stage of the business cycle recommends caution” on monetary policy, policy makers wrote. “The Committee emphasizes that its next steps will continue to depend on the evolution of economic activity, the balance of risks, and inflation projections and expectations.”The central bank is ramping up monetary stimulus to jolt an economy that has only recently shown signs of gaining steam, after nearly three years of disappointing performance. They extended a record-breaking monetary easing cycle even after food costs jumped and the real hit a record low, potentially fueling inflation. Despite those shocks, analysts still see consumer prices running below target next year.What Our Economist Says“The central bank could have declared this cut as final. It didn’t though. In other words, the central bank wanted to preserve some degree of freedom to either maintain or cut rates in the next meeting.”\--Adriana Dupita, Latin America economist at Bloomberg EconomicsWednesday’s move was the fourth straight rate cut of 50 basis points, and it came hours after the U.S. Federal Reserve kept its key rate on hold. In their statement, Brazilian policy makers wrote that they see consumer prices below target through 2021 in all outlooks.Annual inflation in November stood at 3.27%, according to the national statistics agency. Policy makers target inflation at 4.25% this year, 4% in 2020 and 3.75% in 2021.“The most important message was that the current stage of the economic recovery requires caution in monetary policy,” said Solange Srour, chief economist at ARX Investimentos. “That means the central bank is leaving the door open to either halt easing or cut by 25 basis points at the next meeting.”Weaker CurrencySince the prior rate-setting meeting in late October, the real has weakened more than 3%, the second-worst drop in emerging markets. Still, Campos Neto has said the Brazilian currency’s depreciation hasn’t translated into worse inflation expectations, and that the country’s risk premium has improved.“Overall, barring major currency depreciation above 4.20, the central bank inflation forecasts for 2020 and 2021 are not inconsistent with additional moderate rate cuts in the first quarter of 2020, at least one 25 basis point rate cut,” said Alberto Ramos, chief Latin America economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc.President Jair Bolsonaro celebrated the central bank’s decision, saying the government will save about 110 billion reais ($27 billion) in interest payments next year with the key rate at this level. In a boost to sentiment, S&P Global Ratings revised Brazil’s outlook to positive from stable less than an hour after the central bank decision, putting Latin America’s largest economy a step closer to its first sovereign credit rating upgrade since 2011. S&P said that lower interest rates and economic reforms should contribute to growth and investments.Swap rates on Thursday may show increased odds of a 25 basis point cut in the February meeting, the first of next year. On Wednesday, traders attributed a 40% chance to such event.(Adds comment from President Bolsonaro in 10th paragraph)\--With assistance from Rafael Mendes, Josue Leonel and Igor Sodre.To contact the reporter on this story: Mario Sergio Lima in Brasilia Newsroom at firstname.lastname@example.orgTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Walter Brandimarte at email@example.com, Matthew Malinowski, Robert JamesonFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
(Bloomberg) -- High-multiple software stocks have struggled over the past few months as analysts reassess their growth prospects and valuations, and the group could see additional weakness in 2020, creating an environment where more-defensive legacy names are more favored, analysts said on Wednesday.“There is a greater level of concern that the global economy could enter into a recessionary environment next year,” wrote Gregg Moskowitz, an analyst at Mizuho Securities. As a result, “there may be an increased risk of a rotation to value stocks that could cause multiple compression among higher growth companies.”Despite a potential risk to stock multiples, the firm expects software demand to remain robust next year, particularly in the sub-sectors of cybersecurity and cloud computing. It added that “barring a significant recession,” many companies would “navigate these issues very well,” and views both Microsoft Corp. and Salesforce.com Inc. as well positioned.Salesforce was also singled out by Cowen, which named the company as one of its “best ideas” for 2020.Next year “could prove to be a volatile year for higher multiple stocks given trends we’ve seen over the last few months,” Cowen analyst J. Derrick Wood wrote. In contrast, he said, Salesforce looks like “an attractive defensive growth investment,” given its lower valuation and “positioning around high growth/high value segments of software.”A basket of high-multiple software stocks tracked by Goldman Sachs fell as much as 2.6% on Wednesday, and the index was on track for its sixth straight decline, its longest streak of declines since October 2018. Even with the recent decline, the index remains up more than 40% in 2019.Among the names falling on Wednesday was Slack Technologies, down over 6%, Coupa Software, off about 4% and Zscaler, which fell 3.5% despite bullish commentary from BofA. Atlassian Corp. sank 5.7%, while Domo Inc. was off 4.2%. Cornerstone OnDemand and HubSpot each fell more than 3%. Separately, Zendesk fell 1.7%, on pace for a fifth straight decline.UBS analyst Jennifer Swanson Lowe on Wednesday wrote that small- and mid-cap software-as-a-service companies were “working through the bumps,” even as the overall demand environment for software was “healthy” going into the end of the year.The comments followed a UBS conference, where companies like Zendesk, Hubspot and Domo “highlighted strong secular demand trends, but also scaling challenges,” according to a report. Lowe added that software pertaining to security, cloud computing and automation were among the categories with “strong market momentum.”A key catalyst for the software sector will come Thursday afternoon, when Adobe Inc. is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter results. In focus is whether the company is able to maintain revenue growth above 20%; Wall Street is currently expecting growth of 21%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.“How investors react to Adobe’s earnings and commentary could presage how software companies and their underlying stock prices will behave in 2020,” wrote Richard Davis, an analyst at Canaccord Genuity.He said the 20% growth threshold “has taken on a near mythical importance,” and suggested that if companies fail to maintain this level, investors may start “changing their tune” on whether they are comfortable with growth that doesn’t come with operating leverage.To contact the reporter on this story: Ryan Vlastelica in New York at firstname.lastname@example.orgTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Catherine Larkin at email@example.com, Steven Fromm, Jeremy R. CookeFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
UBS Group's (UBS) plea to dismiss a U.S. government lawsuit accusing the bank for making investors' suffer "catastrophic" losses in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) has been annulled.
U.S. investment bank Goldman Sachs has appointed Jonathan Penkin as head of its Johannesburg office, the bank's base for sub-Saharan Africa where the current chief executive is retiring at the end of the year. Penkin, who will relocate to Johannesburg, will be named CEO of Goldman Sachs International Bank, Johannesburg branch, pending regulatory approval, and Goldman Sachs International branch manager, the bank said in an internal memo sent on Tuesday.
The Goldman Sachs Dynamic Municipal Income fund looks for opportunities across the $3.8 trillion muni bond market, and has beaten peers in the process.
Bank of America chief executive Brian Moynihan has joined a chorus of US bankers predicting a strong end to the year for trading and investment banking. Mr Moynihan told investors on Wednesday that the two divisions would record higher fourth-quarter revenues than a year earlier, a day after upbeat remarks from senior executives at Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs. fourth quarter in some of Wall Street’s biggest businesses in 2018, including double-digit percentage declines in fixed-income revenues at each of the big five banks in a period when investment banking revenues also fell for all major players except JPMorgan.
(Bloomberg) -- Explore what’s moving the global economy in the new season of the Stephanomics podcast. Subscribe via Apple Podcast, Spotify or Pocket Cast.While many expect the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday decision on rates to be a snooze for markets, strategists at Bank of America Corp. are nonetheless mulling surprises that could stir up bond prices.They see an outside chance that the Federal Open Market Committee’s updated dot plot will signal a 2020 rate increase, an outcome that would flatten the U.S. yield curve and boost the dollar, according to a report from BofA’s Mark Cabana, Michelle Meyer, Ben Randol and Joe Song. To be sure, that’s not what they view as most probable; they think the dot plot will show the Fed on hold next year.Last week’s surprisingly strong U.S. job data eased worries that a recession will arrive soon, prompting traders to pull back from fully pricing in a quarter-point Fed rate cut in 2020. Before that report Friday, strategists and economists said the central bank might avoid signaling another rate hike for years as it keeps the fed funds rate target unchanged at 1.5% to 1.75%.“We expect the broader U.S. rates market to have a limited response to the Fed meeting,” given that the median 2020 dot -- or where policy makers believe the appropriate level for rates will be next year -- is likely to be 1.625%, reflecting no move.If that’s not the case and the median dot increases Wednesday as the Fed reassesses the balance of risks, that “would likely cause some of the easing priced in 2020 to be pared back and for the curve to flatten, in line with the three prior FOMC meetings,” the BofA team wrote. Regarding the U.S. currency, “we think the hurdle for a significant USD reaction on Wednesday is fairly high,” though the risks seem somewhat “skewed toward a hawkish market reaction.”Along with BofA, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s base case is for the FOMC’s updated dot plot to show policy on hold next year, and the post-meeting statement to indicate the Fed’s current policy stance is likely to remain appropriate.Goldman goes further, however, and says there could be surprises in either a dovish or hawkish direction: One would be if more FOMC participants project one rate hike in 2020 or two hikes in 2022. The other might be if the median long-run dot declines from September’s 2.5% level or policy makers see higher inflation as a prerequisite for the next rate hike.“Beyond the December meeting, we see a high bar for policy moves in either direction,” according to a note by Goldman Sachs economists Jan Hatzius, Alec Phillips, David Mericle and others. They see only moderate changes to the FOMC’s statement and economic projections, and say “the most important question is probably how the refreshed dots will look following the third cut in October.”(Adds Goldman Sachs’ views in last three paragraphs)To contact the reporter on this story: Vivien Lou Chen in San Francisco at firstname.lastname@example.orgTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Benjamin Purvis at email@example.com, Nick Baker, Mark TannenbaumFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
Texas Capital's (TCBI) recent all-stock merger of equals with Independent Bank Group (IBTX) reflects the companies' strategic efforts for business expansion with diversified products in Texas.
(Bloomberg Opinion) -- Say what you like about outspoken activist hedge fund investors such as Carl Icahn, Bill Ackman, Paul Singer or Dan Loeb but at least you know where they stand. Nowadays it’s more fashionable for activist funds to refrain from public criticism and work constructively behind the scenes to help managers turn around a business.This is fine, but it becomes a problem when one of the “kindly” investor types resigns abruptly from a board seat they’d pushed to obtain, without providing much explanation. Shares in Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc tumbled as much as 5% on Tuesday when Bradley Singer, a representative of Jeffrey Ubben’s ValueAct Capital, said he has stepped down as a director. ValueAct is the British aircraft engine maker’s largest shareholder.After serving almost four years on the board, Singer said the company was now on a “solid path forward.” His praise rang a little hollow, however, because Rolls-Royce’s shares are close to three-year lows. ValueAct didn’t help matters by failing to clarify whether it plans to keep its stake of about 9%.Singer’s departure may in fact signal that there are limits to what activist investors can achieve, even the ones who ask politely.In fairness, Rolls-Royce is a different company to the one ValueAct bought into. Under chief executive Warren East, it has cut costs, slashed jobs and overhauled a famously bureaucratic culture. The company has ramped up production and reduced upfront losses on engine sales (engine makers typically make money in servicing, not selling the equipment). Its struggling commercial marine business has been sold. Mission accomplished? Hardly. Because of engineering problems involving the Trent engines it supplies for Boeing Co.’s 787 Dreamliner, Rolls-Royce is a long way from being “fixed.” The company will have spent 2.4 billion pounds ($3.2 billion) between 2017 and 2023 dealing with the early deterioration of engine blades, a cash outflow the debt-laden manufacturer can ill afford. Standard & Poors cut its long-term credit rating last month to BBB-, one notch above junk.Fixing the Trent engines is partly a logistics issue — making sure customers are inconvenienced as little as possible while their planes are grounded for repairs. But it’s also an engineering challenge: Rolls-Royce designed a new high-pressure turbine blade for the Trent 1000 TEN engine variant only to discover that it didn’t provide the necessary durability.Getting this right is something Singer, a former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. banker and finance director of Discovery Communications Inc., would have had relatively little influence over. Yet after attending scores of board meetings, he should at least have been well-versed in what is ailing Rolls-Royce. His decision to step away isn’t reassuring.To contact the author of this story: Chris Bryant at firstname.lastname@example.orgTo contact the editor responsible for this story: James Boxell at email@example.comThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Chris Bryant is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering industrial companies. He previously worked for the Financial Times.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad has vowed to bring back billions of dollars allegedly stolen from state fund 1Malaysia Development Bhd (1MDB), co-founded by his predecessor Najib Razak. The scandal has also embroiled U.S. bank Goldman Sachs, which Malaysia has accused of misleading investors over three bond sales totalling $6.5 billion that the bank helped raise for 1MDB. Malaysian authorities say they are seeking $7.5 billion in compensation from Goldman.
Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad is hopeful of reaching an out-of-court settlement with Goldman Sachs over the 1MDB scandal soon, but he said compensation of "one point something billion" dollars offered by the bank was too small. The Southeast Asian nation has charged Goldman and 17 current and former directors of its units for allegedly misleading investors over bond sales totalling $6.5 billion that the U.S. bank helped raise for sovereign wealth fund 1Malaysia Development Bhd (1MDB). Mahathir said they have demanded $7.5 billion from Goldman and negotiations were ongoing.
Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad has vowed to bring back billions of dollars allegedly stolen from state fund 1Malaysia Development Bhd (1MDB), co-founded by his predecessor Najib Razak. The scandal has also embroiled U.S. bank Goldman Sachs , which Malaysia has accused of misleading investors over three bond sales totaling $6.5 billion that the bank helped raise for 1MDB. Malaysian authorities say they are seeking $7.5 billion in compensation from Goldman.
(Bloomberg) -- China’s consumer inflation accelerated to a seven-year high in November while producer prices extended their run of declines, complicating the central bank’s efforts to support the economy.The consumer price index rose 4.5% last month from a year earlier, following a 3.8% gain in October, the National Bureau of Statistics data showed Tuesday. The median forecast was for a 4.3% increase. Factory prices fell 1.4% on year, slower than the 1.6% drop in October while extending the run of negative readings to five.Pork prices, a key element in the country’s CPI basket, drove the gain, surging 110% from a year earlier as a deadly hog virus cut supply. This pushed up the CPI by about 2.64 percentage points. Core inflation, which removes the more volatile food and energy prices, remained subdued at 1.4%, suggesting domestic demand remains sluggish and the central bank can look through the supply shock.The month-on-month rise in pork prices moderated, suggesting a peak in CPI inflation lies ahead, according to economists. Pork prices rose 3.8% in November from the previous month when it rose 20.1%. Some of the reasons of the moderation include higher pork imports alleviating supply shortage and a decrease in news reports of African swine fever, according to ING Bank’s report.“We shouldn’t focus too much on the headline inflation figure. If we look at non-food inflation or core inflation, you’ll find the divergence between CPI and PPI is narrowing,” said Ning Zhang, an economist at UBS AG. “We are not faced with inflation pressure now, but deflation pressure, or pressure from weak inflation.” Zhang expects the CPI to peak at around January next year.What Bloomberg’s Economists SayWith a recent reversal in pork prices -- the main driver of this year’s pickup in consumer prices -- we expect headline inflation to peak in January or February 2020.\-- David Qu, Bloomberg EconomicsClick here to read the full notePeople’s Bank of China Governor Yi Gang this month signaled a continuation of moderate, limited stimulus. Top Communist Party officials are expected to meet this month to set economic goals for 2020. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists said China will probably lower its growth goal to “around 6%,” which gives policy makers some leeway to respond to slower growth while still keeping the goal of doubling income this decade within reach.“Factory deflation is a more concerning problem than the higher-than-expected CPI,” said Betty Wang, senior economist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. in Hong Kong. “There are no signs the manufacturing sector is recovering and the sluggishness is expected to stay for a while.”(Updates with outlook for pork prices, CPI.)\--With assistance from Tomoko Sato and Miao Han.To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Lin Zhu in Beijing at firstname.lastname@example.orgTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Jeffrey Black at email@example.com, Malcolm Scott, Jiyeun LeeFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
(Bloomberg Opinion) -- Companies from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Monsanto Co. have gotten serious about making work more flexible. Thanks to apps and gadgets, you can easily tap away from a living-room couch, the bleachers at your son’s soccer game or huddled over a coconut on your Christmas vacation. There’s a hidden cost to all this for women, though – and it isn’t just the prospect of being available around the clock.A recent working paper from the International Monetary Fund measured how much salary Japanese employees would be willing to forgo to enjoy a healthier work-life balance. It found that earners making 3 million yen ($27,600) a year would give up nearly half of their income to avoid putting in 45 hours or more of overtime per month. That outcome was roughly consistent with higher-wage workers, too.The most obvious takeaway would be that companies should do everything they can to keep hours reasonable. It doesn’t take an MBA to see that lower salaries would improve the bottom line, with the added upside of happier and possibly more productive workers. There’s an important caveat, however: Women are much more eager than men to give up money for time. That mostly comes down to deeper feelings of guilt, according to the paper, not just for child-rearing but also general household responsibilities such as cooking and caring for aging parents.While this conclusion isn’t revolutionary, the policy implications are stark. For every woman who is willing to accept less money for more flexibility, there’s someone out there inclined to put in that 14-hour day at a desk. This suggests that companies eager to give women more choice by offering a four-day week or shorter hours, may wind up inadvertently deepening gender pay gaps. The better way to protect work-life balance, then, is to make sure all employees – male, female, young, old, parents and the childless – are spending fewer, more productive hours on the clock. There’s ample research to show that working more doesn’t necessarily produce better results. In fact, productivity drops off when employees work more than 50 hours a week, according to a Stanford University study. Whether you work 70 hours or 56 hours, output is roughly the same.Despite Japan’s reputation for burning the midnight oil, Americans work even more: 1,786 hours per year compared with 1,680, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. Germany works the fewest at 1,363. Yet Germany is the most productive of the three, as measured by gross domestic product per hour, followed by Japan, then the U.S.The good news is that employers are starting to respond. In August, Microsoft Corp. tested out a four-day work week in its Japan locations. Productivity rose 40% from a year earlier. One local-government office in downtown Tokyo resorted to shutting off the lights at 7 p.m. to force people to go home. And in Europe, financial industry groups are pressing the London Stock Exchange to cut its trading day by 90 minutes.All this awareness is a good thing; employers and policymakers just need to recognize the pitfalls. The most troubling element of the IMF paper may have been women’s willingness to make less in a country where the pay gap is already so wide. The median income for Japanese men is 24.5% higher than for men and women. That compares with an average of 13.5% in the OECD and 18.2% in the U.S. Flexible working can mean a lot of things: telecommuting, shorter work weeks, or even the ability to set a fluid schedule, so long as you hit a certain number of hours. These options benefit men and women alike. I can’t think of a single parent who doesn’t appreciate the ability to stay on top of emails while sitting in the waiting room at the pediatrician.But what if all that multitasking only adds hours and stress? At a previous job, when my son was a baby, I was able to leave the office early to put him to bed. Yet I recall many nights spent staring into the white halo of my iPhone, crafting emails with one finger, and nursing him in the crook of my spare arm. I probably would have been willing to give up a fair chunk of salary to guiltlessly complete that work in the morning – and could have finished it quicker, to boot. Many women are wary of flexible schedules for this precise reason: They know they’ll end up working for free. Even companies with the best intentions will have difficulty accounting for an evolving definition of what constitutes time spent on the job.That’s why flexible HR policies are meaningless if culture doesn’t evolve more quickly. Japanese employees get some of the most generous family-leave packages in the world, yet few fathers take advantage of them, as my colleague Anjani Trivedi has noted. People there are literally working themselves to death with 100-hour weeks.Konosuke Matsushita, the founder of Panasonic Corp. and business-management guru, said you should think of your career as a “three-day chore” — that is, approach simple tasks with the sincerity of a lifelong occupation. It’s about time we bring as much commitment to protecting our well-being. To contact the author of this story: Rachel Rosenthal at firstname.lastname@example.orgTo contact the editor responsible for this story: Patrick McDowell at email@example.comThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Rachel Rosenthal is an editor with Bloomberg Opinion. Previously, she was a markets reporter and editor at the Wall Street Journal in Hong Kong. For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
Following a banner day for stocks on the back of strong consumer and employment data last Friday, stocks edged lower Monday as traders renewed their focus on U.S.-China trade negotiations.Source: Provided by Finviz * The S&P 500 dropped 0.32% * The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.38% * The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.40% * Home Depot (NYSE:HD) was by far the best-performing name in the Dow Jones today and the only one to gain more than 1%Trade talks between the U.S. and China are on the clock, and that clock is loudly ticking away. New tariffs on Chinese imports are set to go into effect on Dec. 15. There's impetus for both sides to get a deal done, but data suggest China could use a more sanguine relationship with the U.S. sooner than later."Data showed China's exports fell 1.1% in November, with those to the U.S. tumbling 23%, underscoring why the Asian nation may want to resolve the dispute," reports Bloomberg.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 7 Hot Stocks for 2020's Big Trends Now that the market has digested marquee data points in the form of the November jobs report and the early reading on December consumer sentiment, coupled with the fact that there are no earnings reports of consequence to consider, trade is going to dominate near-term headlines.So until credible reports emerge that a deal is going to be signed by the U.S. and China, or at the very least, the Dec. 15 tariffs will be pushed, investors could be treated to more days like today when just 12 of the Dow's 30 components were higher in late trading. Apple Needs Some Tariff HelpWith trade in focus today, it probably wasn't surprising that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), one of the Dow's most trade-sensitive names, was the worst-performing member of the blue-chip index, shedding 1.4%. To be fair to Apple, plenty of U.S. technology companies are levered to the trade talks and could be pinched by the tariffs that could go into effect on Dec. 15.However, shares of Apple performed far worse today than Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Intel (NASDAQ:INTC).It's clear why Apple would like the White House to avert the December tariffs: the company's iPhones, iMacs, iPads and AirPods in China. Those are already pricey products and the company would have to pass higher costs onto shoppers in the event of new tariffs.Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives "estimates that a 15% tariff would trim fiscal 2020 profits by about 4%, or around 50 cents a share, if it proceeds as scheduled," reports Barron's.Hope isn't lost for Apple investors. CEO Tim Cook has one of the best, if not the best relationship with President Trump among major technology executives. Help From Home DepotAs noted earlier, home improvement giant Home Depot was the leader of the Dow pack today as some analysts were waxing bullish on the name ahead of the company's Wednesday analyst day."As sentiment sours, we're buyers into analyst day," said Wells Fargo in a note to clients today. "We believe the Analyst Day overhang is peaking, and see opportunities for post-event relief should [fiscal year 2020] commentary prove better than feared."It's also fair to surmise that Home Depot's Monday move higher represents some follow through on last Friday's consumer sentiment and employment reports, which appeared to be good news for consumer cyclical stocks of which Home Depot is one. Goldman Going Robo?Shares of Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) lost 1.2%, but there was some news out indicating that the bank could join the expanding ranks of financial services firms that are branching out into the robo advisor business.The new service, assuming it's launched, could focus on clients with just $5,000 in assets and represents Goldman's ongoing effort, one that includes expanding its exchange-traded funds roster, to attract clients beyond the ultra wealthy. Merck MovesAfter closing at its highest levels in nearly two decades last Friday, Dow healthcare name Merck (NYSE:MRK) posted a modest Monday gain on news it's acquiring cancer treatment maker ArQule (NASDAQ:ARQL) for $20 per share in cash. While the deal didn't really move the needle for Merck today -- the stock inevitably ended the day down 0.15% -- Wall Street likes it. * 7 Low-Risk Mutual Funds to Buy Now "Analysts have been quick to comment, with Cantor Fitzgerald calling it smart and strategic and SVB Leerink analyst Jonathan Chang claiming it will be 'unlocking value for investors,'" according to Schaeffer's Investment Research. Bottom Line on the Dow Jones TodayThere are a couple of central bank meetings that could provide some respite from the trade drama, including the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. However, a rate cut is not likely to emerge from this meeting and last Friday's data confirm as much,The European Central Bank (ECB) meets Thursday and for investors engaged with Eurozone equities or ETFs, that meeting could deliver some positive news on the easy money front.Beyond those meetings and barring surprises, market participants will likely be hanging on trade words this week and hopefully that doesn't mean bellicose rhetoric from President Trump on Twitter.As of this writing, Todd Shriber did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Energy Stocks That Are Still Worth Buying In 2020 * 7 Strong Stocks to Buy That Won Q3 Earnings * 5 Safety Stocks to Buy Without Trade War Exposure The post Dow Jones Today: The Trade Clock Ticks Away appeared first on InvestorPlace.
As the calendar turns to 2020, investors need to appraise the stock markets in a new light. 2019 came and went with three interest-rate cuts - not the hikes many suspected at the start of the year - and the longest economic recovery of the postwar era continued. The market has subsequently shot to sky-high prices, setting up a 2020 in which value stocks should be ... well, valued.The S&P; 500 trades at more than 23 times its trailing 12-month earnings - a level seen only a few times in the market's history. The index also trades at a sky-high 19 times analysts' estimates for future earnings. That's sustainable as long as investors have enough reasons to be bullish. But several things - another breakdown in trade relations, the U.S. entering recession and more - could spark an exodus from expensive stocks.It's not all bad. The market's best value stocks - which often have defensive qualities, including paying significant amounts of dividend income - would likely thrive in a flight to quality.Here are 10 of the best value stocks to buy heading into 2020. It's a short list, to be sure, as 2019's rally has driven a wide swath of stocks into frothy territory. But each of these stock picks offers value and a favorable fundamental outlook heading into the new year. SEE ALSO: 20 Best Retirement Stocks to Buy in 2020