TWLO - Twilio Inc.

NYSE - NYSE Delayed Price. Currency in USD
106.85
-0.42 (-0.39%)
At close: 4:02PM EST
Stock chart is not supported by your current browser
Previous Close107.27
Open106.20
Bid0.00 x 800
Ask106.98 x 900
Day's Range104.25 - 107.66
52 Week Range32.25 - 119.00
Volume5,239,298
Avg. Volume4,796,104
Market Cap13.19B
Beta (3Y Monthly)1.32
PE Ratio (TTM)N/A
EPS (TTM)-1.26
Earnings DateFeb 11, 2019 - Feb 15, 2019
Forward Dividend & YieldN/A (N/A)
Ex-Dividend DateN/A
1y Target Est121.73
Trade prices are not sourced from all markets
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  • Twilio Stock Has Become More Pie in the Sky Than Cloud
    InvestorPlace4 days ago

    Twilio Stock Has Become More Pie in the Sky Than Cloud

    Twilio (NASDAQ:TWLO) over-delivered on revenue, and earnings met estimates. Yet, the platform-as-a-service (PaaS) company fell in morning trading as Twilio contends with an elevated multiple and the expectations that go with it. The good news might bode poorly for Twilio stock as the company, priced for perfection, falls short of lofty expectations in the future. * 12 2018 Winners That Will Be Big Ol' Losers in 2019 Twilio Stock Met on Earnings, Outperformed on Revenue Click to Enlarge Source: Web Summit Via Flickr For the fourth quarter, Twilio non-GAAP earnings came in at four cents per share, meeting consensus estimates. This still showed improvement, as TWLO lost three cents per share in the same quarter last year. Revenues beat analyst estimates, coming in at $204.3 million -- $19.83 million ahead of estimates. This also improved by 77.3% over year-ago levels. For fiscal 2018, the company earned revenues of almost $650.07 million, $19.86 million ahead of estimates. This also showed substantial year-over-year growth, as TWLO brought in $399.02 million in 2017. The company also met estimates with non-GAAP yearly earnings. The company made 11 cents per share in 2018.Both Q1 and fiscal 2019 guidance include the cost of the SendGrid acquisition. Since estimates do not include this, it was not clear whether the company guided higher or lower.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsThe stock fell by almost 5% in morning trading following the report.I will admit that, at first, I underestimated Twilio stock. Granted, I think few would have predicted the meteoric rise in 2018 -- a 270% increase. Nor could they have foreseen the growth of over 30% TWLO has seen this year. Beware of ValuationHowever, the stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 710! Granted, triple-digit PE ratios commonly occur in hotter stocks. Companies such as Twilio deliver the future. For this, investors will pay what I call a "vision premium," an elevated multiple pertaining to companies that bring their compelling vision to the marketplace.However, even considering this vision, one has to question whether TWLO can justify over 700 times earnings. Some use a discounted cash flow model to justify such a premium. For fiscal 2019, analysts project 16 cents per share in earnings coupled with the forecasted 45.5% growth rate. With the anticipated 8% average growth rate over the next five years, that takes the price to $7.73, barely one-fourteenth of the current stock price.I expect this stock to trade at a triple-digit multiple for some time to come. I also expect growth to remain robust for the foreseeable future. Despite my bearishness on Twilio stock, PaaS has a bright future. Moreover, in the area of PaaS for cloud-based APIs, Twilio faces only smaller competitors for now.However, at a $13 billion market cap, concerns remain. The stock fell a few months ago as Uber worked to reduce its dependence on Twilio. One has to wonder if other large cloud players such as Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL, NASDAQ:GOOG), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) or Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) might take an interest in this market. Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), which currently provides hosting to Twilio, could also enter this market and push it aside. Either way, this points to a weak moat that could make the cloud-like valuation hard to justify. Bottom Line on Twilio StockTwilio stock fell in morning trading as the mixed numbers disappointed investors. TWLO met earnings estimates and exceeded Wall Street expectations on revenue. However, this did not satisfy investors, and TWLO stock sold off.Without question, as the first mover in cloud-based API for communications, Twilio had become the go-to in this area. However, smaller competitors have emerged and its small size compared to other cloud players remains a concern. * 7 Reasons to Own Coca-Cola Stock For now, I see Twilio continuing its rapid growth. However, this valuation is simply dangerous. With Twilio stock, we have no way to tell whether the post-earnings drop is a temporary setback or the beginning of a more permanent decline. I do not recommend sticking around to find out.As of this writing, Will Healy did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned stocks. You can follow Will on Twitter at @HealyWriting. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 9 U.S. Stocks That Are Coming to Life Again * The 7 Best Video Game Stocks to Power Up Your Portfolio! * 5 Tips to Become a Better Stock Trader Compare Brokers The post Twilio Stock Has Become More Pie in the Sky Than Cloud appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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  • InvestorPlace5 days ago

    Here Is How to Trade Twilio Stock Post-Earnings

    Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) has been the star on Wall Street for the past few months. Its stock could do no wrong … until last night. Management reported a strong fourth quarter, but the stock has falling over 5% today on the earnings headline.TWLO beat sales expectation with very strong 77% year-over-year growth. They also managed to meet bottom line expectations. This is what growth companies are supposed to do. Their goal is to grow the top line while managing their spending. They also guided forward with caution, which is likely where the bulls are slightly disappointed.The street expectations did not include the acquisition of email API platform Sendgrid.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsLuckily, coming into the earnings event TWLO stock was up 30% year-to-date and and an astonishing 336% in one year. I guess you could say that it was priced for perfection. That is a lot of hope to live up to, so a small dip doesn't change the trajectory yet. Where Does Twilio Stock Stand Now?Fundamentally Twilio stock is expensive from the traditional price-to-earnings ratio perspective as compared to, say, Facebook (NASDAQ:FB). But this is not a traditional stock. When I evaluate a growth company, I don't worry about value. I need them to grow as fast as they can, and this cannot happen if they are penny-pinching. Since they met the earnings expectations, it tells me that expenses are going according to plans. * 9 U.S. Stocks That Are Coming to Life Again Having said that and after a rally this big, an earnings dip on disappointment is not likely to be a one-day event. At these altitudes, I could find better entry points. But this is a momentum stock and those rarely give investors a clear signal to trade.Luckily we can use the charts to predict areas of interest for the TWLO stock. If this selloff continues, the first obvious level of interest is at $113 per share. This has been the February pivot point. Below lies the $108.60 which is the low of the period. Either of these levels can be support on this dip. I look for signs of stabilization there, and I can re-enter long on clear upticks.If the sellers persist then the obvious next target is the candle from Jan. 31. It spans all the way to $104 per share. This is where I would expect better potential support. This is the start of a prior pivot zone all the way to $98 per share. The point of control for the last three months or so is even lower and closer to $92 per share. This was the spot where both bulls and bears fought the hardest, so will be best support.The strategy is the same on any of those levels and conviction grows stronger the lower it goes. Before I catch the falling knife I need to see the support level hold. Then the bulls will need to set a higher low trend before I brave it long, because this dip is miniature relative to the ascent that TWLO has had. Any long attempt should have a tight stop loss. Unless I plan on holding this stock for years, I don't want to turn a trade into an investment.Wall Street Analysts are unanimously one sided rating Twilio stock as a "buy." And it is now trading at the very top end of their price range. So this leaves it open for an opinion flip, much like what happened to Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) when it reached its height of exuberance. When a stock runs this fast and high on such one-sided opinion, it becomes vulnerable for big corrections. Tight stops are in order for any bullish bets on TWO.Nicolas Chahine is the managing director of SellSpreads.com. As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. You can follow him as @racernic on Twitter and Stocktwits. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * The 7 Best Video Game Stocks to Power Up Your Portfolio! * 7 Forever Stocks to Buy for Long-Term Gains * 5 Self-Driving Car Stocks to Buy Compare Brokers The post Here Is How to Trade Twilio Stock Post-Earnings appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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