XOM - Exxon Mobil Corporation

NYSE - NYSE Delayed Price. Currency in USD
78.42
+0.60 (+0.77%)
At close: 4:00PM EST
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Previous Close77.82
Open78.71
Bid0.00 x 800
Ask78.50 x 1800
Day's Range77.62 - 78.95
52 Week Range64.65 - 87.36
Volume9,519,281
Avg. Volume14,813,195
Market Cap332.266B
Beta (3Y Monthly)0.98
PE Ratio (TTM)16.07
EPS (TTM)4.88
Earnings DateApr 25, 2019 - Apr 29, 2019
Forward Dividend & Yield3.28 (4.19%)
Ex-Dividend Date2019-02-08
1y Target Est84.27
Trade prices are not sourced from all markets
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The company isn't just about the Model 3 -- or even just about automobiles. The solar division, Powerwall, and other future initiatives all offer additional profit opportunities.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * The 10 Best Cheap Stocks to Buy Right Now A $52 billion market capitalization hardly suggests Tesla stock is cheap, but it's puny compared to what the valuation could be if Tesla achieves even some of its goals across the energy space. ARK Invest famously has put a $4,000 per share bull case price target on TSLA stock -- which would suggest a valuation over $500 billion. Given that Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) is worth about $375 billion, including debt, that figure perhaps isn't as ludicrous as it sounds.In the short term, meanwhile, Tesla stock is getting to a point where it doesn't look that expensive. 2020 analyst EPS estimates are over $9 per share, suggesting a 33x forward P/E multiple. That's a big number as far as auto stocks go -- General Motors (NYSE:GM) and Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) both trade in the single digits -- but it's a valuation that Tesla at least can grow into. As the company expands into Europe and China, its earnings should grow, and that multiple should come down. The Case Against TSLA StockThe case against Tesla stock is starting to build, however, and it comes down to one simple problem: trust. For all the arguments over convertible debt maturities and 25% gross margins and weekly production levels, the broad argument is rather simple.If Tesla can build cars more effectively and more efficiently than existing manufacturers, TSLA stock probably rises. It will make more money per car than anyone else -- and enough to fund its moves into semi trucks, energy storage, and other areas.If it doesn't, TSLA stock falls. Auto companies aren't valued at 30x earnings -- or even 20x. Earnings expectations come down, multiples compress, and the Tesla stock price comes down significantly. And so far, we're simply not seeing much evidence that Tesla is that much better than anyone else at production.Tesla hasn't released a $35K Model 3 yet, as promised. It built vehicles in a tent. Target after target has been missed. For all the hype about the 5,000 per week production target (sort of) reached in late June, Tesla hasn't been able to get back to that level on a consistent basis.There's a lot of big talk and big promises out of Tesla. The results -- thin profitability and missed goals -- haven't been good enough yet. The Trust ProblemAnd with each passing month, it becomes harder to trust Tesla and CEO Elon Musk. Musk clearly violated his settlement with the SEC with Tweets this week initially guiding for production of 500,000 cars this week.The CEO did correct the tweet four hours later, admittedly. 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For 22 months, the market hasn't made up its mind as to which is more likely. At some point, it will. Right now, it still seems far too difficult to trust this company -- and this CEO -- to deliver the rewards they promise.As of this writing, Vince Martin has no positions in any securities mentioned. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Smart Money Stocks to Buy Now * The 10 Best Cheap Stocks to Buy Right Now * 7 Restaurant Stocks to Watch in 2019 Compare Brokers The post The Risks and Rewards of Tesla Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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