28.45 +0.13 (0.46%)
After hours: 7:59PM EDT
|Bid||28.39 x 1800|
|Ask||28.33 x 27000|
|Day's Range||28.30 - 28.97|
|52 Week Range||22.66 - 31.91|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.66|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||10.53|
|Earnings Date||Jul 17, 2019|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||0.60 (2.10%)|
|1y Target Est||33.50|
The Federal Reserve will leave rates unchanged but has removed its 'patience' in monetary policy. Yahoo Finance's Brian Cheung breaks it down.
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan said his firm has “more to gain than anybody” from the booming trend of non-cash transactions.
Despite the S&P 500 trading at lofty heights, 8 blue chip stocks are still selling well below their record highs but may be poised for big gains as investors pursue diverse strategies to profit amid a volatile U.S.-China trade war. Some professional investors are wading in to buy beaten down blue chips from the semiconductor industry, including Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Xilinx Inc. (XLNX), NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) and Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS). Goldman says these service stocks are much more likely to outperform than stocks in goods-producing sectors.
(Bloomberg Opinion) -- Faced with an extraordinarily difficult situation, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave bond traders exactly what they wanted in the central bank’s latest monetary policy decision.While the Fed left its benchmark lending rate unchanged in a range of 2.25% to 2.5%, changes to language in the Federal Open Market Committee’s statement, like removing the word “patient” and pledging to “act as appropriate to sustain the expansion,” pointed to reducing interest rates in the near future. One voting member, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, even dissented in favor of a cut. On top of that, the “dot plot” showed the median projection among policy makers was for lowering interest rates at some point before the end of 2020. The reaction in the world’s biggest bond market was swift, even though a Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey released Tuesday found that being long U.S. Treasuries has become the world’s most-crowded trade for the first time ever. Two-year U.S. yields dropped 10 basis points after the announcement to 1.76%. The day of the Fed’s last meeting, it was 2.3%. Benchmark 10-year yields also fell toward the 2% level, which hasn’t been breached since around the time Donald Trump was elected president. The yield curve steepened sharply.On top of validating dovish wagers among bond traders, who had priced in 2.5 cuts for 2019 ahead of the decision, the Fed’s latest shift is also a victory for Trump, who has been pounding the table for lower interest rates and whose White House, as Bloomberg News reported, in February explored the legality of demoting Powell. (He said “let’s see what he does” when asked later on Tuesday if he still wants to demote him.)This is probably not the outcome that Powell wanted but the one he felt he had little choice but to deliver. Just consider what has happened since the last Fed member spoke on June 7, before its blackout period began.June 7: The May jobs report showed nonfarm payrolls rose 75,000, missing all estimates in a Bloomberg survey, with the unemployment rate steady at 3.6%. June 7: Trump tweeted that tariffs on Mexican goods, which sparked a massive flight-to-quality trade in Treasuries, were “indefinitely suspended.” June 12: Consumer price index data missed estimates. June 14: Retail sales were stronger than expected, while the University of Michigan's gauge of expected inflation fell to an unprecedented low. June 17: The New York Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Index plunged in June by the most on record. June 18: European Central Bank President Mario Draghi promised that officials are ready with stimulus if needed. June 18: The S&P 500 came within 0.8% of a record high.This is a decidedly mixed bag. The labor market remains strong but is slowing from its breakneck pace. Inflation is at risk of persistently undershooting the Fed’s target. Business confidence is weakening, though consumers are resilient. And central banks around the globe are shifting to easier policy in anticipation of slower growth ahead. The Fed’s own updated projections reflect this murky outlook: Growth is now seen as higher in 2020, at 2%, while officials predict inflation will be lower than they thought in the coming year and a half. Powell took the path of least resistance. Just as the first rule of bond trading is “don’t fight the Fed,” one mantra of heading up the central bank could well be summarized as “don’t fight the markets.” He made abundantly clear that officials have had a “significant” change in their outlook relative to earlier this year, as evidenced by the adjusted FOMC statement. I wrote earlier this week that this Fed decision would show if the markets broke Powell. It’s possible that already happened in late December, when stocks were in freefall and Trump privately discussed firing his pick to lead the central bank. In what’s known as the “Powell pivot,” in early January he backed off from his previously firm stance that the balance-sheet runoff would continue on “automatic pilot” and went from shrugging off “a little bit of volatility” to assuring investors that he was attuned to the market’s concerns about downside risks.Bond traders, meanwhile, can quickly move on from debating whether the Fed will lower interest rates this year to when those cuts will begin. Policy makers left themselves some room to maneuver, but not much. In fact, the updated 2019 dot was close to forecasting an interest-rate reduction. After capitulating to markets this time, it would seem as if July is definitely in play. Fed funds futures indicate a cut next month is a near certainty.“They’re delivering on and above market expectations,” Jeffrey Rosenberg, systematic fixed-income senior portfolio manager at BlackRock Inc., said on Bloomberg TV. “The markets will now expect action in July,” added Michael Gapen at Barclays Plc.It’s regrettable that Powell didn’t show more backbone. Sure, his overarching goal is to sustain the economic expansion, and it’s clear that the data isn’t as strong as it was during the zenith of the tightening cycle. But that’s to be expected at this point, a decade after the recession ended and amid some self-inflicted pain on the trade front.This is a crucial time for the Fed and for monetary policy in general. Given that the ECB and Bank of Japan haven’t managed to wean their economies off extraordinary stimulus measures, it raises tough questions about whether central banks are doing more harm than good with what appears to be a tendency to prop up markets at every turn. Powell did a better job than his predecessor at staying the course, but he has proved willing to capitulate at most turns in 2019.Powell has advantages that his counterparts don’t, including a stronger domestic economy and a policy rate that has increased eight times since December 2016. He at least has a bit of room to try an “insurance cut” to keep the good times going.But fractionally lower interest rates aren’t going to magically fix the U.S.-China trade tensions nor provide the spark needed to lift inflation or encourage vast business investment. It serves mostly as a signal to Wall Street that the Fed knows its cues. Powell can only hope that the short-term high will be worth it in the long run.To contact the author of this story: Brian Chappatta at email@example.comTo contact the editor responsible for this story: Daniel Niemi at firstname.lastname@example.orgThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Brian Chappatta is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering debt markets. He previously covered bonds for Bloomberg News. He is also a CFA charterholder.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
Robotics and automation companies sit ready to benefit from challenges facing the modern world. Gain exposure using these ETFs.
Some analysts have started to price in "insurance cuts," which means they are expecting the Fed to cut rates right before a downturn in order to save the economy.
[Editor's note: This story was previously published in February 2019. It has since been updated and republished.]Investing to "buy and hold" is trickier than it looks. The increasing pace of technological change means even the most successful, dominant companies have to continually adapt to keep up. Industries like energy, real estate and even consumer products are facing potentially significant long-term changes going forward. In any era, amassing a collection of retirement stocks simply by buying the best companies and holding them for years can be a risky endeavor.General Motors (NYSE:GM) was a classic "widows and orphans" stock until last decade, when GM wound up going bankrupt. United States Steel (NYSE:X) once was a pillar of corporate America and a buy-and-hold stock. GM shares basically haven't moved in a quarter of a century. Polaroid and Eastman Kodak were once blue-chip stocks. Both went bankrupt as cameras changed from film to digital.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsBut there still are stocks to buy and hold out there that can last forever, while offering dividend income along the way. * 7 Value Stocks to Buy for the Second Half Here are ten such retirement stocks to buy and hold forever.Source: Shutterstock Bank of America (BAC)Dividend Yield: 2.1%It might seem strange to open the list with Bank of America (NYSE:BAC). After all, we're only a bit more than a decade on from the financial crisis. During that crisis, BofA acquisition Countrywide Financial blew up in spectacular fashion, after pioneering many of the risky tactics that led to the bubble and subsequent bust.But this is a different BofA.Net consumer charge-offs hit a decade-long low last year. Its performance on credit metrics is strong. Government regulations have been criticized as slowing growth -- but they've undoubtedly lowered risk as well, even if observers might argue that a better balance is needed.No less than Warren Buffett is now BofA's largest shareholder, through his Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK.A, NYSE:BRK.B). And the Oracle of Omaha is fond of saying that his favorite holding period is "forever."That seems likely true for BAC stock as well.Source: Mustafa Khayat Via Flickr Diageo (DEO)Dividend Yield: 2%Change has come to the alcohol industry, with the number of breweries exploding worldwide and new distilleries popping up as well. The brands owned by Diageo (NYSE:DEO) are well-positioned to adapt to shifting tastes.Diageo owns classic brands like Johnnie Walker whisky, Tanqueray gin, Smirnoff vodka, and Harp and Guinness beer, among many others. What most have in common is a timeless quality and worldwide brand recognition. As a result, while beverage giants like Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) and Anheuser Busch InBev (NYSE:BUD) have struggled with earnings growth, Diageo grew net income by 13.5% in fiscal 2018 and expects consistent growth going forward. * 7 Value Stocks to Buy for the Second Half Yet with a trailing multiple of 26.5, and with a dividend yield of 2%, Diageo stock isn't all that dearly valued. Long-term investors would do well to own DEO and perhaps use the dividends to buy a bottle or two of fine whisky.Source: U.S. Embassy Kyiv Ukraine via Flickr (Modified) Medtronic (MDT)Dividend Yield: 2%In this day and age, the U.S. healthcare market in particular seems potentially volatile. Concerns about increased spending and political battles over the Affordable Care Act create more questions than answers.But even with that uncertainty, Medtronic (NYSE:MDT) isn't going anywhere. The company's devices are an integral part of modern medicine, ranging from pacemakers to stents to bone grafts to imaging systems.Even the risks involved in the sector look priced into MDT. Medtronic's days of double-digit annual growth may well be behind it, but it's not finished increasing earnings or dividends. MDT stock likely isn't finished rising, either.Source: Shutterstock NextEra Energy (NEE)Dividend Yield: 2.4%Utility stocks are among the most common safe, buy-and-hold stocks. NextEra Energy (NYSE:NEE) is now the largest electric utility in the U.S. by market capitalization. That might actually be the only problem with NEE stock.NextEra shares gained 18% year-to-date, and trades just off record highs. Potential valuation concerns aside, NextEra looks like a winner. It serves customers in the southern Florida region, still one of the nation's fastest-growing areas. A 22.6 forward P/E multiple is high for the space but not outlandishly so. And a 2.4% dividend yield provides income along the way. * 7 Dividend Stocks to Buy as the Trade War Reignites Investors looking for value in the space might look for a smaller play like cheaper Dominion Energy (NYSE:D). But it's usually worth paying for quality, and NextEra Energy looks like one of the best utility stocks out there.Source: Blue Genie via Flickr McCormick & CompanyDividend Yield: 1.5%McCormick & Company (NYSE:MKC) is another quality company whose valuation might spook some investors. But MKC stock very rarely is offered cheaply.The company's market leadership in spices and seasonings provides both an impressive moat and protection against economic downturns. MKC stock did dip after the company acquired French's mustard and Frank's RedHot sauce from Reckitt Benckiser (OTCMKTS:RBGLY) at a price that looked a bit high to many investors. But MKC has recovered those gains and then some.Top-line growth for McCormick likely isn't going to be explosive, but it will be steady. The same has been true of MKC stock, which has returned an average of 13% a year over the past decade, including dividends.With continuous cost-cutting initiatives, the contribution from the acquired brands and organic growth (and growth in organic products), MKC still should be able to provide double-digit annual returns going forward as well.Source: Shutterstock Allstate CorpDividend Yield: 2%Allstate Corp (NYSE:ALL) long has used the tagline, "You're in good hands," and it's true for Allstate investors as well. ALL stock has almost quadrupled from late-2011 lows. And there could be more upside to come.After all, Allstate isn't particularly expensive, trading at a 14 P/E. * 7 Value Stocks to Buy for the Second Half Once any short-term worries subside, ALL should resume its march upward.Source: Shutterstock International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF)Dividend Yield: 2%International Flavors & Fragrances (NYSE:IFF) is a company most consumers encounter every day without knowing it and many investors aren't exactly hip to it, either.As its name suggests, the company develops flavors & fragrances across 13 categories, including cosmetics, perfumes, beverages and sweet flavors. Sales and earnings have increased consistently and so has IFF's share price. At a 53 P/E, IFF does look a bit pricey. But, as with McCormick and other stocks on this list, investors should pay for quality.IFF's hidden, but key role, in so many industries, gives it a great deal of protection against both competition and macro factors. Acquisitions and a growing cosmetic additive business both provide room for growth.Consumers may not know IFF, but investors should.Source: Shutterstock Lamb WestonDividend Yield: 1.4%Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW) was spun off from Conagra Brands (NYSE:CAG) last year. Lamb Weston is the No. 1 potato producer in the United States. In fact, it manufactures the well-known fries at McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), among other restaurant chains.Lamb Weston also has a consumer business (including a small segment that manufactures frozen vegetables), while serving restaurants of all sizes. Health concerns might seem a long-term headwind against the business, but growth has been steady for years, and margins continue to improve.LW is targeting international markets for growth, as French fries have much more limited penetration, while international audiences generally are intrigued by Americanized products.Despite growth and leading market share, LW stock isn't particularly cheap, trading at about 19 times next year's earnings. The company did pick up a fair amount of debt in the CAG spinoff. But it's paying that debt down, which should lower interest expense and boost cash flow going forward. * 7 Value Stocks to Buy for the Second Half With many similar stocks trading at much higher multiples, LW seems to have room for upside. And international growth should offset any health-related concerns in the U.S., should they arise. America's love affair with French fries isn't going to suddenly end, and that should ensure years of stability for Lamb Weston at least.Source: Shutterstock Fortune Brands (FBHS)Dividend Yield: 1.6%Investors are commonly advised to diversify their portfolio. Fortune Brands Home & Security (NYSE:FBHS) has done just that. The company operates in four segments: Cabinets, Plumbing, Doors, and Security. Among its well-known brands are Moen in plumbing, and MasterLock in security.FBHS is more of a cyclical stock than most on this list, and the company no doubt has benefited from the steady, if slow, housing recovery in the U.S. But the company's products also generate relatively stable replacement demand, and a 1.6% dividend yield provides modest, but growing, income.Fortune Brands has been an impressive company since its founding and a solid stock since its 2011 IPO. There may be a bit more volatility here, but that's a worthwhile price to pay for long-term investors. There's enough value in Fortune Brands to ride out any market jitters.Source: Shutterstock Republic ServicesDividend Yield: 1.74%Republic Services (NYSE:RSG) is a bit smaller and likely a lot less well-known than rival Waste Management (NYSE:WM). But in this case, that's not necessarily a bad thing.Republic Services has outgrown its larger competitor in both sales and earnings over the past five years. RSG stock has modestly outperformed WM over the same period as well. Investors appear to believe that will continue, as Republic Services is valued a bit higher than Waste Management, at least based on forward earnings multiples.Both RSG and WM are solid long-term plays. Contracted revenue and steady demand should support both companies for years to come. There's room for further acquisitions in a relatively fragmented space. Republic Services gets the nod here due to slightly better growth and more room for margin improvement. * 7 Value Stocks to Buy for the Second Half But investors looking for safe, stable growth can't go wrong with either RSG or WM.As of this writing, Vince Martin was long MKC. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Value Stocks to Buy for the Second Half * 7 Hot Stocks to Buy for a Seemingly Sleepy Summer * 6 Chip Stocks Staring At Big Headwinds in 2019 Compare Brokers The post 10 'Buy-and-Hold' Stocks to Own Forever appeared first on InvestorPlace.
SAN JOSE, Calif., June 19, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- SunPower (SPWR) today announced that with Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (HASI) and SunStrong Capital Holdings, LLC, it has secured financing commitments for its residential solar lease program that will help meet SunPower's expected customer demand into 2020. SunPower has provided solar lease financing options to customers since 2010.
Bank of America is putting billions more toward helping homebuyers afford closing costs nationally, including in this region.
Bank of America Corp (NYSE: BAC )'s valuation multiples and consensus estimates for 2020 appear too low, according to BMO Capital Markets. The Analyst BMO’s James Fotheringham upgraded Bank of America ...
Shares of Bank of America Corp. gained 0.4% in premarket trading Tuesday, after a bullish call from BMO Capital analyst James Fotheringham, who said Street expectations and valuations "look too low." Fotheringham raised his rating to outperform, after being at market perform for at least the past three years, while keeping his price target at $37, which is 33% above Monday's stock closing price of $27.93. Fotheringham said about one-third of the potential upside to his price target is based on expected upward revisions of consensus earnings expectations, on the back of higher fees and share repurchases and lower tax rates. The remaining two-thirds of the potential gain is from an expected "rerating" of price-to-earnings valuations, given that the stock is currently trading at a 15% discount to average valuations that have historically been seen during benign economic conditions. He said even if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, an increase in consensus earnings expectations should more than offset any dilution to net interest margin. The FactSet 2019 EPS consensus of $2.85 is down from $2.90 at the end of March, but is up from $2.61 a year ago. The stock has lost 6.3% over the past three months, while the SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF has edged up 0.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained 2.0%.
Bank of America Corp NYSE:BACView full report here! Summary * Perception of the company's creditworthiness is neutral * ETFs holding this stock are seeing positive inflows * Bearish sentiment is low * Economic output for the sector is expanding but at a slower rate Bearish sentimentShort interest | PositiveShort interest is extremely low for BAC with fewer than 1% of shares on loan. This could indicate that investors who seek to profit from falling equity prices are not currently targeting BAC. Money flowETF/Index ownership | PositiveETF activity is positive. Over the last month, ETFs holding BAC are favorable, with net inflows of $8.66 billion. Additionally, the rate of inflows is increasing. Economic sentimentPMI by IHS Markit | NegativeAccording to the latest IHS Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, output in the Financials sector is rising. The rate of growth is weak relative to the trend shown over the past year, however, and is easing. Credit worthinessCredit default swap | NeutralThe current level displays a neutral indicator. BAC credit default swap spreads are within the middle of their range for the last three years.Please send all inquiries related to the report to email@example.com.Charts and report PDFs will only be available for 30 days after publishing.This document has been produced for information purposes only and is not to be relied upon or as construed as investment advice. To the fullest extent permitted by law, IHS Markit disclaims any responsibility or liability, whether in contract, tort (including, without limitation, negligence), equity or otherwise, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on or the use of this material in any way. Please view the full legal disclaimer and methodology information on pages 2-3 of the full report.
In the latest trading session, Bank of America (BAC) closed at $27.93, marking a -0.39% move from the previous day.
When folks think of the Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) portfolio and its collection of holdings, most of which were selected by Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett, the companies that most readily come to mind are probably American Express (AXP), Coca-Cola (KO) and, more recently, Apple (AAPL).But a deep dive into Berkshire Hathaway's equity holdings reveals a more complicated picture.Berkshire Hathaway held positions in 48 separate stocks as of March 31, according to regulatory filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. But the portfolio of "Buffett stocks" isn't as diversified as the number might suggest. In some cases, BRK.B holds more than one share class in the same company. Some holdings are so small as to be immaterial leftovers from earlier bets the Oracle of Omaha has yet to completely exit.And perhaps most importantly, Berkshire Hathaway's equity portfolio is actually pretty concentrated. The top six holdings account for almost 70% of the portfolio's total value. The top 10 positions comprise nearly 80%. Banks and airlines, to cite a couple of sectors, carry quite a load in this portfolio. Then there's the fact that several Buffett stocks actually were picked by portfolio managers Todd Combs and Ted Weschler.Here, we examine each and every holding to give investors a better understanding of the entire Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. SEE ALSO: The 19 Best Stocks to Buy for the Rest of 2019
Wells Fargo and Bank of America, two of the largest banks in Greater Baltimore, will provide millions for down payment assistance grants to low- and moderate-income homebuyers.
(Bloomberg) -- Like masterpieces by Van Gogh, Picasso and Rothko, the storied auction house Sotheby’s is slipping into wealthy private hands, in a $2.7 billion deal that will reshape the global art market.Billionaire Patrick Drahi agreed to buy the 275-year-old firm, ending Sotheby’s three decades as a public company. Drahi, a disciple of media mogul John Malone, is seizing on the upheavals that have shaken the centuries-old auction model.The deal announced Monday pulls the inner workings of the art market even deeper into the shadows. As a private company, Sotheby’s will no longer be required to disclose quarterly results, which had put it at a competitive disadvantage compared with arch-rival Christie’s, owned by another French billionaire, Francois Pinault. Those periodic reports also provided a “public bellwether” for the art market with insight into margins, executive compensation, strategy, capital allocation and the stock’s reaction to major economic and political forces, said Evan Beard, an art-service executive at Bank of America Corp.“That all goes underground now,” Beard said. “It’s a transparency shift."Investors including Dan Loeb’s Third Point hedge fund, Sotheby’s second-biggest shareholder, will receive $57 in cash for each share of Sotheby’s common stock, the New York-based auction house said Monday in a statement. The offer represents a 61% premium to Friday’s closing price.Sotheby’s shares had dropped 40% in the past year as the company grappled with higher costs and shrinking margins even as masterpieces and contemporary works set auction records. Drahi, 55, is chairman of Altice Europe NV, a publicly traded telecommunications firm with more than 30 million customers. He’s worth $8.6 billion and the sixth-richest person in France, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index."It’s a trophy acquisition," said Franck Prazan, owner of Applicat-Prazan gallery, who was a managing director at Christie’s France when Pinault bought the company. “These auction houses aren’t really meant to be publicly traded, and they’re better off being owned by a personal fortune. The profitability of a publicly traded auction house is extremely volatile.”Bold dealmaking is well in character for Drahi, who single-handedly built a global telecom behemoth in the span of two decades through relentless acquisitions and an embrace of debt. The Moroccan-born Frenchman, who’s also an Israeli citizen, is said to have proposed to his wife within an hour of meeting her. He harbored ambitions of one day running a global company. Realizing that goal could take decades to materialize if he stayed on the corporate track, he quit his first job with a Dutch satellite firm and founded his own cable businesses with the help of a student loan.Cutthroat CompetitionIn 2016, in a $17.8 billion deal, Altice acquired Cablevision Systems Corp., where Sotheby’s Chief Executive Officer Tad Smith honed his managerial skills before taking the reins at Madison Square Garden Co.Altice Europe’s main asset is SFR, a French telecommunications company. The business is finally returning to growth after years of customer losses amid cutthroat competition. Shares of Altice Europe have advanced about 70% this year, though they remain more than 50% below their 2015 peak.Drahi’s takeover would mean that French citizens will own the world’s two major auction houses. Pinault, the founder of Paris-based luxury goods giant Kering SA, initially acquired a stake in Christie’s two decades ago from British billionaire Joe Lewis.“It was ripe for Sotheby’s to go private,” said former Christie’s executive Philip Hoffman, now CEO of the Fine Art Group. “Christie’s has more advantages being run privately and not having public quarterly reporting that puts pressure on their ability to do deals.”The branding potential of Sotheby’s had attracted investors including Loeb, whose Third Point hedge fund is the second-largest shareholder, with a 14.3% stake.Loeb joined the board in 2014 after a bitter proxy fight, and senior managers were replaced soon after. Investments in technology and advisory services followed -- as well as significant milestones, such as the sale of a Jean-Michel Basquiat painting for $110 million in 2017. Still, Sotheby’s has consistently trailed Christie’s in annual sales.“Today’s sale price affirms the value we saw when we first invested in Sotheby’s, and rewards long-term investors like Third Point who believed in its potential,” Loeb said Monday in a email.To contact the reporters on this story: Katya Kazakina in New York at firstname.lastname@example.org;Angelina Rascouet in Paris at email@example.com;Devon Pendleton in New York at firstname.lastname@example.orgTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Pierre Paulden at email@example.com, ;Alan Goldstein at firstname.lastname@example.org, Peter EichenbaumFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
(Bloomberg) -- Two weeks after scrapping their overweight recommendation for equities, Credit Suisse Group AG strategists are saying that the risks are now tilted to the upside.“On balance, we think there is more risk of a ‘melt-up’ than a meltdown, and find that we are more positive than most of the clients we meet,” analysts led by Andrew Garthwaite said in a note to clients on Monday.To be fair, the strategists expect the MSCI All Country World Index to rise just 6% by year-end and hesitate to make a stronger call until there’s more clarity surrounding trade talks, economic data and earnings revisions. But softer monetary policy in addition to a bet that earnings growth will recover is making Credit Suisse optimistic that equities can go higher.The analysts said that many investors may be undervaluing stocks as more than 40% of clients it surveyed in May didn’t pay attention to the appeal of valuations based on so-called equity risk premium. That’s the potential excess return for investing in shares over risk-free assets. According to the broker, equity valuations are “much more attractive” from a risk premium perspective rather than from a price-to-earnings standpoint.Credit Suisse joins the likes of Bank of America Merrill Lynch, which on Friday said that investors’ short positioning and exodus from stocks, which has reached about $152 billion this year, is a contrarian bullish indicator. Since the Swiss broker removed its tactical overweight on stocks in early June, global equities have gained 3.7% as traders embraced the U.S. Federal Reserve’s openness to rate cuts.Haven SearchAt the same time, the rally in defensive shares has continued this month along with bond fund inflows, signaling that investors are searching for havens. This week should provide more clarity on the market’s direction as the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England all set monetary policy.Meanwhile, friction between the U.S. and Iran, clashes in Hong Kong and uncertainty over a G-20 meeting between President Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping mean that the gains in stocks stand on thin ice.But for now, the Swiss broker recommends playing the upside risk by being overweight European non-financial cyclicals, which suffer from bearish economic growth predictions, as well as U.S. growth stocks. Both asset classes tend to outperform most of the time when the Federal Reserve cuts rates, Credit Suisse said.\--With assistance from James Cone.To contact the reporter on this story: Ksenia Galouchko in London at email@example.comTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Blaise Robinson at firstname.lastname@example.org, Jon Menon, Paul JarvisFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
CBJ's most recent Top 50 list ranks Charlotte-area public company executives by total compensation.
Choosing the right indicators can be a daunting task for novice traders. It’s a much easier process when they focus their effects into five categories.
Some researchers boosted forecasts for second-quarter economic growth following the reports. Less upbeat numbers for payrolls and inflation in the past week led many investors to increase bets that the Fed will lower borrowing costs in the next couple of months. “Today’s report was a bit of relief for the Fed. It takes out a sense of urgency for them to act,” Michelle Meyer, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America Corp., said after the retail figures.