U.S. Markets open in 8 hrs 21 mins

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)

NasdaqGM - NasdaqGM Delayed Price. Currency in USD
Add to watchlist
127.78-0.06 (-0.05%)
At close: 4:00PM EDT
People also watch
  • Europe will not buy the US Long Bond to Arb against their low rate 10s. Game over soon. Ill probably go short near the close.
  • https://www.google.com/amp/mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN19G0EX

    Push on with the 'great unwinding', BIS tells central banks
    Major central banks should press ahead with interest rate increases, the Bank for International Settlements said on Sunday, while recognizing that some turbulence in financial markets will have to be negotiated along the way.
  • Longs are about to exhaust themselves. Waiting on the sidelines to short.
  • TLT about to hit election day lows. Meanwhile, bonds and stocks have both rallied in 2017. Expect equity sell-off and normalization in the relationship.

    Bonds About To Reach Key Levels - David Sims
  • Golden cross tomorrow.
  • $130 GAP needs to be closed.
  • Golden Cross for the first time since Janet over-estimated the strength of US economy.
  • I think is a mistake today. Fed Funds @ 1.25% with dots conservative 2 hikes brings the daily FFR to 1.75%. Even if I assume no more rate increase, 1.75% is much better than 2.15% tied up for 10 years. Owning this makes no sense.
  • Fed to cut interest rate in September.
  • Should see $130 next week
  • President Trump told Janet, "cut the interest rate, biaxch"
  • Raise the debt cieling on September, cut interest rate to zero.
  • Break 127, push all in for $140.
  • Will see $130 next week
  • Recession --> TLT -->150
  • hard to believe that TLT will be SPY this year....but shiat happens.
  • Robots and A.I. replacing jobs... QE forever... TLT to 150
  • Here we go... $130 this Friday.
  • Sterilizaton of Interest Rate by the FMOC.
    There is now about 2%, 200 basis points of FMOC Sterilization in the 10 year vs. AAA corporate bonds.
    So what happens when the FED's FMOC withdraws that 200 basis points of sterilization?
    2% that is a lot of sterilization of 10 year bond yields?
    Withdrawal begins with FMOC portfolio liquidation, 1929?
  • Break 126, irrational exuberance for the second time..