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iShares Trust - iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

NasdaqGM - NasdaqGM Delayed Price. Currency in USD
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125.71+0.46 (+0.37%)
At close: 4:00PM EDT
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  • A
    Abigail
    Abigail
    I think TLT is due for a pullback. What are your thoughts? have you guys heard of Awe-Some.Sto-ck.s. i started receiving their allerts and so far i am happy.
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    PTBarum
    PTBarum
    Two narcissistic leaders totally capable of making a catastrophic mistake.
  • M
    Merenkov
    Merenkov
    Blistering demand in today’s 30Y Treasury auction, with indirect bidders (a proxy for foreign investors, including foreign central banks) taking down 66.8%, the second highest percentage on record. (The record of 68.5% indirects was set in July of last year, during the Brexit panic.)
  • N
    Nickachu
    Nickachu
    not good! The start of destruction
  • E
    Emma
    Emma
    Is it time to make a move on TLT? Im not sure about you guys but awesome*stocks has provided me with some pretty good trade ideas. I messed up executing some of them but thats on me.
  • P
    PTBarum
    PTBarum
    What's the yield now on the 20+ TBond? Inflation will probably exceed the rate in a few year. I can understand short term bonds for parking cash, but I don't know of any sane person who is buying long term bonds today. Watch what happens when the Fed starts unwinding in a month or two.
  • p
    pupu0495
    pupu0495
    it is expected when fed balance sheet unwind start, long date yield will need to go up.
  • P
    PTBarum
    PTBarum
    Toxic long bond
  • o
    osulindrool
    osulindrool
    $140 when US government raises the debt ceiling.
  • P
    PTBarum
    PTBarum
    Yellen said plenty and the market is being stupid again. Bank deposit rates will move higher she said. Hmm, that helps the long bond? The Feds normal balance sheet $1-2 trillion. She said by 2022 the balance sheet will be normal. That's about $4 trillion of debt which was off market being sold over the next 5 years. I see the 30 year back above 4.5% in 2018. This could quicken if Trump gets his tax cuts passed. It appears there is some profit taking today. Nothing I heard today points me in a different direction. I'd love to hear an opposing view, but as they say, they'd be fighting the fed.
  • P
    PTBarum
    PTBarum
    The FED is anticipating new tax laws which will stimulate the economy. They need to get away from the artificial low rates and reduce their balance sheet. Europe over the long term will raise rates. The future for the long bond is dim imo. Long bond yields will go back to pre-financial crisis levels. I am not sure where gold or stocks will be next year, but I am pretty certain rates will be a lot higher and long bonds stand to be effected the most.
  • M
    Merenkov
    Merenkov
    Jeff Gundlach is predicting more pain for longer term bonds (as the yield on the 10Y trends above its 200 DMA and the yield on the 30Y has just ticked above its 200 DMA, although still below the 100 DMA). Gundlach is one of a handful of bond analysts that I pay attention to, and he’s had an uncanny ability to predict short-term moves (as far back as March he was predicting that the yield on the 10Y would break below 2.25%, which we’ve seen). Per Bloomberg, he’s now reiterating his year-end call of 3% for the 10Y. That seems unlikely, as every other market would break before those levels were reached, but I also wouldn’t bet against the guy. If we see the yield on the 30Y much above 3%, I’ll once again be a buyer of the Long Bond. I wouldn’t mind another ‘Taper Tantrum” like we saw in 2H of 2013. That provided one of the best buying opportunities in history….
  • P
    PTBarum
    PTBarum

    https://www.google.com/amp/mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN19G0EX

    Push on with the 'great unwinding', BIS tells central banks
    Major central banks should press ahead with interest rate increases, the Bank for International Settlements said on Sunday, while recognizing that some turbulence in financial markets will have to be negotiated along the way.
    www.google.com
  • M
    MICK
    MICK
    an ominous formation on the daily over the past week or so. a significant top may be in
  • o
    osulindrool
    osulindrool
    TLT hits 130, and beat SPY YTD performance.
  • o
    osulindrool
    osulindrool
    I long TLT for a lot of reason..

    one of them is hedging for BAC... BAC up more than TLT.. DougKass is a shiatty man..
  • o
    osulindrool
    osulindrool
    Durable goods order negative... BA orders down.. PE new high..

    TLT is too cheap.
  • o
    osulindrool
    osulindrool
    Capital good order is shiatty... Yet BA up again..
  • P
    PTBarum
    PTBarum
    Europe will not buy the US Long Bond to Arb against their low rate 10s. Game over soon. Ill probably go short near the close.
  • P
    PTBarum
    PTBarum
    Longs are about to exhaust themselves. Waiting on the sidelines to short.