|Bid||0.00 x 301800|
|Ask||0.00 x 1000|
|Day's Range||11.89 - 11.93|
|52 Week Range||11.85 - 13.11|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.25%|
Gold tested the low end of its trading range in May. As gold has shown price weakness ahead of Fed rate increases, we expect gold to continue to drift around the bottom of the range until the expected rate increase on June 12. Futures positioning and flows into gold bullion exchange traded products suggest gold is poised for another post-Fed meeting rally. The immediate challenge comes from strong economic growth and robust jobs numbers that bolster the case for higher interest rates.
The second half of 2018 should be very interesting for the gold market. The chart shows the gold price has formed a wedge or pennant pattern that has been in place for several years. The positive aspect of this pattern is the trend of higher lows.
Investors looking for a more cost-effective avenue for investing in gold have a new exchange-traded fund (ETF) to consider following Tuesday's debut of the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust ( GLDM). The SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust is the latest product in the long-running partnership between State Street Global Advisors (SSgA) and the World Gold Council (WGC), the groups behind the SPDR Gold Shares ( GLD).
Gold continues to offer good returns, and investors who are interested in owning the precious metal may consider buying shares in a gold exchange-traded fund (ETF). These funds are managed by gold experts, so you stand a better chance of making money than you would on your own.
Oil prices (USO) soared ~6.0% in the week ended June 22. After its meeting on June 22, OPEC decided to raise its output. However, this increase was lower than what the markets expected.
ABN Amro believes that there is more downside to gold prices (IAU) from the current levels, although it would be temporary. The firm sees gold prices falling to $1,250 per ounce by the end of 2018 before rallying in 2019. It believes the US dollar’s (UUP) strength could the major driver of gold’s weakness in 2018.
Over the past year or so, we’ve seen an increasing number of industry big names lending their names to ETFs.
RAAX remains fully invested across commodities, natural resource equities, and MLPs. As they were at launch, the largest weightings remain in diversified commodities (30%), gold bullion (20%), and agribusiness equities (20%). However, its allocation to gold equities now stands at 10%, increasing overall gold exposure to 30%.
The VanEck Vectors Real Asset Allocation ETF (RAAX) launched, on April 9, into a period of strong performance for real assets. RAAX performed well on both an absolute and relative basis. Through April, in the first 16 days of its life, RAAX returned +2.98% based on net asset value versus +2.41% for its benchmark, the Blended Real Asset Index, which is comprised of an equally weighted blend of the returns of Bloomberg Commodity Index, S&P Real Assets Equity Index, and VanEck Natural Resources Index*. Equal weightings are reset monthly.
When stocks sell off, gold often shines. The stock market fell sharply Thursday after President Trump canceled the summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
Ray Dalio Is Holding on to Gold: Are You? As the 13F filings became available during the start of last week, much of the market buzz was about what money managers are holding and what they are staying away from. Ray Dalio held his holdings in the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Fund and the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) constant.
Precious metals funds are a smart and effective way of adding diversification to an investment portfolio. When choosing the best precious metals funds to buy, there are a few criteria to follow for narrowing your search: Use ETFs or ETNs: Exchange-traded funds and exchange-traded notes are generally preferred for investing in precious metals over mutual funds. This is because most precious metals mutual funds buy stocks of miners, which offers only indirect exposure to precious metals, whereas ETFs and ETNs can offer more direct exposure through indices and commodities markets.
Form 13F filings for major financial firms became available earlier this week, and much of the buzz around the top money managers has to do with their stock picks over the past few months. Somewhat less prominent in the ongoing analysis of the SEC filings of top hedge funds, though, is the fact that at least two prominent billionaire money managers maintained faith in gold, in spite of the fact that increased interest rates threaten to trim gains for the precious metal. Ray Dalio's Bridgewater preserved its stake in SPDR Gold Shares ( GLD), the largest exchange-traded product linked to gold bullion.
One of the most crucial factors causing a slump in the price of precious metals is the revival of the US dollar. The DXY, which prices the dollar against a basket of six major world currencies, rose 0.68% on May 15. The DXY gained 3.8% over the last month.
Gold ETF investors bought 173.4 tons of gold in 2017, which was 9% higher year-over-year. In 2018 year-to-date, the inflows in gold-backed ETFs have been strong. In times of increased volatility, investors are repositioning their portfolios to include more gold as a volatility hedge. Expectations of a global trade war triggered by President Trump’s import tariffs could lead investors to seek a haven in gold.
In this part of the series, we’ll look at the correlation between gold and four mining stocks: Alamos Gold (AGI), First Majestic Silver (AG), B2Gold (BTG), and Royal Gold (RGLD). Mining stocks generally move with gold prices. Among these four miners, Alamos Gold has shown the highest correlation with gold this year, while B2Gold has had the lowest correlation.
Lower platinum prices are a major concern for platinum miners in Africa. Platinum, like palladium, is used to cut down carbon monoxide emissions and as a catalyst in vehicle engines. It is also used in diesel-based generators. The platinum market has been in short supply for the last few years, and its deficit is expected to expand to a short supply of 275,000 ounces in 2018.
Another crucial factor behind precious metals’ rise was the US dollar index, which fell 0.42% on May 10. The DXY had gained over the last month, rising 3.4%, while gold fell 1.6%. Over the past few months, the US dollar (UUP) has been the most critical driver of gold prices.
In this part of the series, we’ll look at the correlation between gold and four mining stocks: New Gold (NGD), Newmont Mining (NEM), Hecla Mining (HL), and Kinross Gold (KGC). For the most part, mining stocks move in tandem with gold prices. Among these four miners, Newmont has shown the highest correlation with gold this year, while Hecla has shown the lowest correlation.
One of the primary selling points for many exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is that these products offer annual expense ratios that are, in many cases, significantly below those found on actively managed mutual funds. The ETF fee battle appears to be making its way to the world of gold ETFs, as media reports out Friday indicate that the World Gold Council (WGC) is planning to launch a new, low-cost gold fund. The World Gold Council (WGC) partners with State Street to bring the SPDR Gold Shares ( GLD) to investors.
The World Gold Council, owner of the world's largest gold-backed exchange traded fund (ETF), is launching a new fund with a cut-price management fee to fend off rivals with lower charges, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters. The move is a sign that cost competition among gold ETFs is heating up after a price war in the much larger equities ETF sector slashed management fees. Gold ETFs allow buyers to invest in physical gold without having to buy and store the metal.
3. Gold stocks have yet to recover from the early February sell-off: Investors viewed the general market sell-off as an overdue correction, rather than the reemergence of systemic risks. This interpretation precluded a flight to safe havens, causing gold and especially gold stocks to sell-off with the market in early February. As a result, RBC Capital Markets notes that the gold producers are trading at a roughly 20% discount to their historic valuations.
After talking with many producers about their cost drivers, we believe cost concerns are overblown and that costs will fluctuate around the $900 level for the foreseeable future. It seems the labor market has tightened somewhat in Australia, but companies are not reporting any wage pressures In fact, BMO Capital Markets sees the all-in costs of the gold companies in their coverage universe declining 8% in 2019. In its 2018 “Gold Yearbook,” the New York–based CPM Group showed that AISCs (all-in sustaining costs) for gold mining companies (GDX)(IAU) bottomed out in 1Q16 to $871, down 27% from the peak of $1,187 in 3Q12.
There are several reasons for the underperformance: A lack of interest in safe-haven3 investments: While volatility has returned to markets this year, it has yet to reach worrying levels that might motivate investors to hedge their exposure. RBC Capital Markets reports the six-month trailing beta to gold of the VanEck Vectors® Gold Miners ETF has declined to 1.5x, compared to a historical average of 2.0x. The corresponding betas for the VanEck Vectors® Junior Gold Miners ETF is 1.7x and 2.2x, respectively. ...